India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 4?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$46,133 交易量
$46,133 交易量
2026-05-04
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$46,133 交易量
$46,133 交易量
2026-05-04
33°C or below
$13,428 交易量
Yes
34°C
$8,071 交易量
No
35°C
$5,383 交易量
No
36°C
$8,941 交易量
No
37°C
$5,439 交易量
No
38°C
$1,693 交易量
No
39°C
$1,257 交易量
No
40°C
$477 交易量
No
41°C
$673 交易量
No
42°C
$348 交易量
No
43°C or higher
$422 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$46,133結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$46,133結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C in Lucknow on May 4 under partly cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 33°C or below as clouds reduce solar insolation and convective cooling suppresses daytime heating. Yesterday's observed high of 33.3°C—6.1°C below normal—reflects persistent moisture from recent western disturbances and a weak trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain, deviating from May's climatological average of 38–41°C amid late-April heatwaves exceeding 42°C. Model ensembles align on subdued peaks, with official Amausi station data resolving the market by evening; realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing or stalled precipitation enabling radiative heating above 33°C, though thunderstorm warnings indicate low likelihood.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions