Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on May 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 7?
17°C or below 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$260,507 交易量
$260,507 交易量
2026-05-07
17°C or below
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
17°C or below 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$260,507 交易量
$260,507 交易量
2026-05-07
17°C or below
$79,819 交易量
Yes
18°C
$38,848 交易量
No
19°C
$29,269 交易量
No
20°C
$25,556 交易量
No
21°C
$25,522 交易量
No
22°C
$19,863 交易量
No
23°C
$22,460 交易量
No
24°C
$7,236 交易量
No
25°C
$5,652 交易量
No
26°C
$3,361 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$2,921 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
交易量
$260,507結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$260,507結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:42 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at the Madrid-Retiro station and Weather Underground data confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at approximately 17.8°C around 1 p.m. local time on May 7, 2026, firmly supporting trader consensus for 17°C or below with near-certainty. Persistent overcast skies, thundershowers, hail, and a cooler air mass from northerly flows—contrasting recent days' 19–20°C highs—suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 22°C peaks. Post-sunset temperature declines eliminate further rises, as diurnal cycles and reduced insolation post-9 p.m. ensure no rebound. Realistic challenges would require upward data revisions from overlooked sensors or station discrepancies, though AEMET validation processes render this improbable. Next AEMET daily summary expected May 8.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions