Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on May 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 8?
19°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$278,106 交易量
$278,106 交易量
2026-05-08
18°C or below
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$278,106 交易量
$278,106 交易量
2026-05-08
18°C or below
$145,205 交易量
No
19°C
$30,798 交易量
Yes
20°C
$24,949 交易量
No
21°C
$23,060 交易量
No
22°C
$17,594 交易量
No
23°C
$12,905 交易量
No
24°C
$6,789 交易量
No
25°C
$7,105 交易量
No
26°C
$3,953 交易量
No
27°C
$4,361 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$1,386 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$278,106結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$278,106結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 19.1°C at 17:30 local time on May 8, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus for the 19°C outcome as the market-implied probability reflects verified meteorological data over forecasts. Cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles predicting highs near 19°C amid a cool early-May pattern following Spain's record-hot April average of 15.1°C. This positioning underscores the precision of airport station measurements to whole degrees Celsius; realistic challenges would require rare post-validation data corrections by AEMET or Wunderground, with no further updates expected as the event has passed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions