National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 91°F on May 12, 2026, at 2:28 PM local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome. This peak aligned with above-normal May warmth—climatological average highs near 86°F—under partly cloudy skies and light sea breeze flows that capped solar insolation before afternoon convection brought cooling showers. Hourly ASOS data confirmed no higher readings, with temperatures dropping to 88°F by 4 PM and 84°F by 6 PM. Rare post-validation data revisions by NOAA quality control could theoretically challenge this, but official climate summaries validate the positioning amid typical urban heat island influences at KMIA.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on May 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 12?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$82,391 交易量
$82,391 交易量
2026-05-12
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$82,391 交易量
$82,391 交易量
2026-05-12
81°F or below
$6,172 交易量
No
82-83°F
$2,393 交易量
No
84-85°F
$6,435 交易量
No
86-87°F
$9,358 交易量
No
88-89°F
$16,516 交易量
No
90-91°F
$12,512 交易量
Yes
92-93°F
$11,153 交易量
No
94-95°F
$5,138 交易量
No
96-97°F
$4,917 交易量
No
98-99°F
$4,028 交易量
No
100°F or higher
$3,769 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 91°F on May 12, 2026, at 2:28 PM local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome. This peak aligned with above-normal May warmth—climatological average highs near 86°F—under partly cloudy skies and light sea breeze flows that capped solar insolation before afternoon convection brought cooling showers. Hourly ASOS data confirmed no higher readings, with temperatures dropping to 88°F by 4 PM and 84°F by 6 PM. Rare post-validation data revisions by NOAA quality control could theoretically challenge this, but official climate summaries validate the positioning amid typical urban heat island influences at KMIA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 10, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$82,391結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 91°F on May 12, 2026, at 2:28 PM local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome. This peak aligned with above-normal May warmth—climatological average highs near 86°F—under partly cloudy skies and light sea breeze flows that capped solar insolation before afternoon convection brought cooling showers. Hourly ASOS data confirmed no higher readings, with temperatures dropping to 88°F by 4 PM and 84°F by 6 PM. Rare post-validation data revisions by NOAA quality control could theoretically challenge this, but official climate summaries validate the positioning amid typical urban heat island influences at KMIA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,391結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 91°F on May 12, 2026, at 2:28 PM local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 90-91°F outcome. This peak aligned with above-normal May warmth—climatological average highs near 86°F—under partly cloudy skies and light sea breeze flows that capped solar insolation before afternoon convection brought cooling showers. Hourly ASOS data confirmed no higher readings, with temperatures dropping to 88°F by 4 PM and 84°F by 6 PM. Rare post-validation data revisions by NOAA quality control could theoretically challenge this, but official climate summaries validate the positioning amid typical urban heat island influences at KMIA.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions