National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 81°F around 1-2 PM EDT, as captured in hourly METAR reports amid partly cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and sea breeze influence that capped daytime heating. This outcome, well below the climatological May average of 86°F and initial forecasts near 88°F under a high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, reflecting real-time data aggregation with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled summaries, though current records show no higher peaks; final NWS daily climatological report will solidify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月3日邁阿密的最高溫度?
80-81°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$144,947 交易量
$144,947 交易量
華氏73度或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
80-81°F 100.0%
華氏73度或以下 <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$144,947 交易量
$144,947 交易量
華氏73度或以下
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reached 81°F around 1-2 PM EDT, as captured in hourly METAR reports amid partly cloudy conditions, southerly winds, and sea breeze influence that capped daytime heating. This outcome, well below the climatological May average of 86°F and initial forecasts near 88°F under a high-pressure ridge, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, reflecting real-time data aggregation with real capital at stake. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled summaries, though current records show no higher peaks; final NWS daily climatological report will solidify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions