National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on May 5?
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$72,135 交易量
$72,135 交易量
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$72,135 交易量
$72,135 交易量
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 88°F around 11 a.m. local time, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome as automated surface observing system data finalized the daily maximum. This aligns with pre-event NWS forecasts projecting upper-80s highs under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity typical for early May in South Florida, where climatological averages hover near 86°F. With the market now resolved on official records, realistic challenges are negligible—only a rare post-validation revision by NOAA climatologists could shift the outcome, a scenario with negligible historical precedent for settled daily peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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