Trader consensus favors 17°C (36%) as Munich's highest temperature on April 16, narrowly ahead of 18°C (31%), mirroring tight spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 16–18°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and potential morning showers, which could cap solar insolation and boundary-layer heating at 17°C, while clearer skies might push peaks to 18°C; DWD guidance aligns near 17°C with partial clearing. This exceeds April's climatological average of 13°C, but short-range model uncertainty persists ahead of 12Z updates and radiosonde observations on April 14–15.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 16?
17°C 35%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
23%
17°C
38%
18°C
17%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 35%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
23%
17°C
38%
18°C
17%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus favors 17°C (36%) as Munich's highest temperature on April 16, narrowly ahead of 18°C (31%), mirroring tight spreads in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 16–18°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and potential morning showers, which could cap solar insolation and boundary-layer heating at 17°C, while clearer skies might push peaks to 18°C; DWD guidance aligns near 17°C with partial clearing. This exceeds April's climatological average of 13°C, but short-range model uncertainty persists ahead of 12Z updates and radiosonde observations on April 14–15.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions