Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C amid a transitional spring pattern with a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe potentially yielding southerly winds and partial clearing, driving the slight 26% market-implied edge for 22°C or higher as traders weigh optimistic clear-sky outliers against baseline climatological averages of 13-15°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty—full sunshine could push peaks above 21°C via enhanced solar heating, while scattered showers or overcast skies from residual fronts cap readings at 15-18°C—and subtle air mass contrasts, with warmer Mediterranean inflows versus cooler continental air. DWD updates and new model runs expected within 24-48 hours may sharpen consensus before resolution via official Munich Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
19°C 31%
18°C 18%
20°C 17%
21°C 13%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
10%
18°C
18%
19°C
31%
20°C
17%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
4%
19°C 31%
18°C 18%
20°C 17%
21°C 13%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
10%
18°C
18%
19°C
31%
20°C
17%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C amid a transitional spring pattern with a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe potentially yielding southerly winds and partial clearing, driving the slight 26% market-implied edge for 22°C or higher as traders weigh optimistic clear-sky outliers against baseline climatological averages of 13-15°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty—full sunshine could push peaks above 21°C via enhanced solar heating, while scattered showers or overcast skies from residual fronts cap readings at 15-18°C—and subtle air mass contrasts, with warmer Mediterranean inflows versus cooler continental air. DWD updates and new model runs expected within 24-48 hours may sharpen consensus before resolution via official Munich Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions