Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport show a cool start to April 16 at 10°C with high humidity, but short-term forecasts project warming to 18°C on April 17 and a 21°C high on April 18 amid partly sunny to loosely cloudy skies in southern Germany. This aligns with tight clustering in ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON ensemble models around 19–22°C, explaining trader-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (30.5%) and 21°C (26.5%) while discounting extremes. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from northwest showers potentially capping peaks at 19°C or allowing more solar heating for 22°C; new model runs expected April 17 could refine the consensus as resolution nears via official EDDM station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 18?
20°C 32%
21°C 28%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
28%
22°C
16%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
2%
20°C 32%
21°C 28%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
19%
20°C
32%
21°C
28%
22°C
16%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport show a cool start to April 16 at 10°C with high humidity, but short-term forecasts project warming to 18°C on April 17 and a 21°C high on April 18 amid partly sunny to loosely cloudy skies in southern Germany. This aligns with tight clustering in ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON ensemble models around 19–22°C, explaining trader-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (30.5%) and 21°C (26.5%) while discounting extremes. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from northwest showers potentially capping peaks at 19°C or allowing more solar heating for 22°C; new model runs expected April 17 could refine the consensus as resolution nears via official EDDM station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions