Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月6日慕尼黑最高溫度？
7月6日慕尼黑最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$137,106 交易量
$137,106 交易量
2026-07-06
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$137,106 交易量
$137,106 交易量
2026-07-06
19°C or below
$2,314 交易量
No
20°C
$3,597 交易量
No
21°C
$9,056 交易量
No
22°C
$17,183 交易量
No
23°C
$14,346 交易量
No
24°C
$32,123 交易量
No
25°C
$16,160 交易量
Yes
26°C
$14,592 交易量
No
27°C
$13,176 交易量
No
28°C
$8,521 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$6,037 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$137,106結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$137,106結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions