Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on June 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 25?
34°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 交易量
$96,170 交易量
2026-06-25
29°C或以下
否
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 交易量
$96,170 交易量
2026-06-25
29°C或以下
$1,710 交易量
否
30°C
$1,016 交易量
No
31°C
$5,601 交易量
No
32°C
$9,258 交易量
No
33°C
$20,274 交易量
No
34°C
$17,605 交易量
Yes
35°C
$14,192 交易量
No
36°C
$15,210 交易量
No
37°C
$5,240 交易量
No
38°C
$2,753 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$3,310 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
交易量
$96,170結束日期
2026-06-25市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$96,170結束日期
2026-06-25市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions