**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on May 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 12?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$102,302 交易量
$102,302 交易量
2026-05-12
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$102,302 交易量
$102,302 交易量
2026-05-12
5°C or below
$1,421 交易量
No
6°C
$1,435 交易量
No
7°C
$3,403 交易量
No
8°C
$6,790 交易量
No
9°C
$26,875 交易量
No
10°C
$13,093 交易量
Yes
11°C
$11,467 交易量
No
12°C
$11,079 交易量
No
13°C
$10,590 交易量
No
14°C
$7,229 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$8,919 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 10, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$102,302結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$102,302結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Observed data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C today, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and northwest winds suppressing warming.** Persistent cool air advection over Central Europe, as shown in recent ECMWF and DWD model runs, capped daytime highs around 10–11°C, aligning with current real-time measurements of 9–10°C through afternoon hours. Historical May averages near 18°C underscore the anomaly from this cold snap. Realistic challenges include late-day clearing enabling brief solar heating to 11°C before sunset at approximately 20:40 local time, though dense overcast and diminishing sunlight make this improbable; final DWD daily maximum report expected post-midnight will resolve the market.**
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions