Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on May 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 3?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 交易量
$41,227 交易量
2026-05-03
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 交易量
$41,227 交易量
2026-05-03
16°C或以下
$2,251 交易量
否
17°C
$2,270 交易量
否
18°C
$1,319 交易量
否
19°C
$1,479 交易量
否
20°C
$1,559 交易量
否
21°C
$2,557 交易量
否
22°C
$2,198 交易量
否
23°C
$4,631 交易量
否
24°C
$6,498 交易量
No
25°C
$8,339 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$8,127 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$41,227結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$41,227結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions