Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at München-Flughafen station (EDDM), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Munich's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 20°C, with readings staying below 21°C throughout the day. This near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects a sharp cooldown from May 5's observed 23–24°C maximum, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge, persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating, light northwest winds, and high humidity reaching 89% by evening. Current conditions at 18:00 local time—13°C under overcast skies—rule out further warming before sunset. Only an improbable pre-finalization data revision could challenge this, as post-finalized DWD records lock in the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on May 6?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$70,949 交易量
$70,949 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$70,949 交易量
$70,949 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 4, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at München-Flughafen station (EDDM), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm Munich's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 20°C, with readings staying below 21°C throughout the day. This near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects a sharp cooldown from May 5's observed 23–24°C maximum, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge, persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating, light northwest winds, and high humidity reaching 89% by evening. Current conditions at 18:00 local time—13°C under overcast skies—rule out further warming before sunset. Only an improbable pre-finalization data revision could challenge this, as post-finalized DWD records lock in the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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