Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月9日慕尼黑最高溫度?
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 交易量
$118,175 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 交易量
$118,175 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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