Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on May 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 24?
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F或以下 <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 交易量
$212,406 交易量
2026-05-24
43°F或以下
否
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
是
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62°F或更高
否
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F或以下 <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 交易量
$212,406 交易量
2026-05-24
43°F或以下
$896 交易量
否
44-45°F
$1,775 交易量
No
46-47°F
$1,070 交易量
No
48-49°F
$1,759 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,901 交易量
否
52-53°F
$23,337 交易量
否
54-55°F
$17,051 交易量
否
56-57°F
$18,621 交易量
是
58-59°F
$14,017 交易量
否
60-61°F
$12,068 交易量
否
62°F或更高
$119,911 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$212,406結束日期
2026-05-24市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$212,406結束日期
2026-05-24市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions