Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris reference station, the authoritative source for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 21°C amid mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This measurement, finalized in preliminary daily reports, aligns with ensemble forecast models from prior days predicting highs in the 18–21°C range under a stable high-pressure system over Western Europe, consistent with early May climatological norms averaging 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control—such as recalibrations or overlooked station readings exceeding the threshold—though urban reference sites like Montsouris rarely see adjustments post-publication. Final monthly climatology updates expected later this month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on May 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$196,541 交易量
$196,541 交易量
2026-05-03
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$196,541 交易量
$196,541 交易量
2026-05-03
13°C or below
$1,866 交易量
No
14°C
$2,309 交易量
No
15°C
$2,368 交易量
No
16°C
$3,315 交易量
No
17°C
$7,466 交易量
No
18°C
$31,347 交易量
No
19°C
$16,040 交易量
No
20°C
$30,745 交易量
No
21°C
$39,426 交易量
Yes
22°C
$45,034 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$16,625 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris reference station, the authoritative source for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 21°C amid mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This measurement, finalized in preliminary daily reports, aligns with ensemble forecast models from prior days predicting highs in the 18–21°C range under a stable high-pressure system over Western Europe, consistent with early May climatological norms averaging 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control—such as recalibrations or overlooked station readings exceeding the threshold—though urban reference sites like Montsouris rarely see adjustments post-publication. Final monthly climatology updates expected later this month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$196,541結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris reference station, the authoritative source for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 21°C amid mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This measurement, finalized in preliminary daily reports, aligns with ensemble forecast models from prior days predicting highs in the 18–21°C range under a stable high-pressure system over Western Europe, consistent with early May climatological norms averaging 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control—such as recalibrations or overlooked station readings exceeding the threshold—though urban reference sites like Montsouris rarely see adjustments post-publication. Final monthly climatology updates expected later this month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$196,541結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris reference station, the authoritative source for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached exactly 21°C amid mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This measurement, finalized in preliminary daily reports, aligns with ensemble forecast models from prior days predicting highs in the 18–21°C range under a stable high-pressure system over Western Europe, consistent with early May climatological norms averaging 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control—such as recalibrations or overlooked station readings exceeding the threshold—though urban reference sites like Montsouris rarely see adjustments post-publication. Final monthly climatology updates expected later this month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions