Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on May 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 7?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,992 交易量
$109,992 交易量
2026-05-07
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,992 交易量
$109,992 交易量
2026-05-07
10°C or below
$2,626 交易量
No
11°C
$1,688 交易量
No
12°C
$1,026 交易量
No
13°C
$1,920 交易量
No
14°C
$6,731 交易量
No
15°C
$10,394 交易量
No
16°C
$20,436 交易量
No
17°C
$19,646 交易量
Yes
18°C
$18,859 交易量
No
19°C
$12,512 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$14,154 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$109,992結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$109,992結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions