Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward 26-27°C highs in Taipei on March 23, implying mild spring conditions as the northeast monsoon weakens, allowing southerly flows to push temperatures above the March historical average of 24°C. Tight odds reflect uncertainty in frontal timing—a late cold surge could cap peaks at 22°C or below (23% implied probability), while clear skies and urban heat island effects favor 27°C (26.5%). Recent Central Weather Administration updates highlight low cloud cover (20-40%) and light winds (5-10 km/h) as key differentiators, with 12Z model runs tomorrow potentially clarifying moisture advection risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
27°C 27%
26°C 26%
22°C or below 24%
25°C 18%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
5%
27°C 27%
26°C 26%
22°C or below 24%
25°C 18%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward 26-27°C highs in Taipei on March 23, implying mild spring conditions as the northeast monsoon weakens, allowing southerly flows to push temperatures above the March historical average of 24°C. Tight odds reflect uncertainty in frontal timing—a late cold surge could cap peaks at 22°C or below (23% implied probability), while clear skies and urban heat island effects favor 27°C (26.5%). Recent Central Weather Administration updates highlight low cloud cover (20-40%) and light winds (5-10 km/h) as key differentiators, with 12Z model runs tomorrow potentially clarifying moisture advection risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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