Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors milder heat in Lucknow on March 23, with 47.5% implied probability for 31°C or below and 29.5% for exactly 32°C, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department's latest forecast models projecting a daytime high near 31-32°C amid lingering cool northerly winds from a recent western disturbance. Historical March data from IMD stations show average maxima around 32°C, but this week's observed highs of 29-30°C—lower than seasonal norms due to cloudy skies and reduced solar insolation—bolster expectations of subdued warming. Ensemble models indicate low risk of exceeding 33°C barring unexpected clear skies, aligning with traders' positioning for conservative outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
31°C or below 48%
32°C 30%
33°C 8%
35°C 6%
$92,899 交易量
$92,899 交易量
31°C or below
48%
32°C
30%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
31°C or below 48%
32°C 30%
33°C 8%
35°C 6%
$92,899 交易量
$92,899 交易量
31°C or below
48%
32°C
30%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors milder heat in Lucknow on March 23, with 47.5% implied probability for 31°C or below and 29.5% for exactly 32°C, driven by the Indian Meteorological Department's latest forecast models projecting a daytime high near 31-32°C amid lingering cool northerly winds from a recent western disturbance. Historical March data from IMD stations show average maxima around 32°C, but this week's observed highs of 29-30°C—lower than seasonal norms due to cloudy skies and reduced solar insolation—bolster expectations of subdued warming. Ensemble models indicate low risk of exceeding 33°C barring unexpected clear skies, aligning with traders' positioning for conservative outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions