Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 22 remains fragmented, with 21°C edging ahead at 26% amid near-equal odds across 14–24+°C bins, signaling model forecast divergence from ECMWF, GFS, and CMA ensembles. Spring variability in the Yangtze River basin—driven by fluctuating Siberian cold air intrusions versus southerly monsoon precursors—fuels this spread, as recent 00Z runs project highs from 14°C (persistent northerly flow) to 24°C+ (early heat dome setup). Urban heat island effects in densely built Wuhan could nudge readings 1–2°C higher than rural stations, while historical March 22 averages hover near 16°C; watch CMA's 12-hourly updates for jet stream shifts resolving trader bets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 22?
21°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
21°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 22 remains fragmented, with 21°C edging ahead at 26% amid near-equal odds across 14–24+°C bins, signaling model forecast divergence from ECMWF, GFS, and CMA ensembles. Spring variability in the Yangtze River basin—driven by fluctuating Siberian cold air intrusions versus southerly monsoon precursors—fuels this spread, as recent 00Z runs project highs from 14°C (persistent northerly flow) to 24°C+ (early heat dome setup). Urban heat island effects in densely built Wuhan could nudge readings 1–2°C higher than rural stations, while historical March 22 averages hover near 16°C; watch CMA's 12-hourly updates for jet stream shifts resolving trader bets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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