Trader sentiment for Chengdu's highest temperature on March 22 shows near-even odds across outcomes from 17°C or below to 27°C or higher, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting a 18-26°C spread amid a transitioning weather pattern. A weak subtropical ridge promises mild southerly flows and solar insolation favoring mid-20s peaks, but lingering post-frontal cloud cover and basin topography could cap maxima nearer 20°C by trapping cool air overnight. Recent mild spells elevated 23-26°C probabilities slightly above historical March norms of 17-19°C, while urban heat island effects in the city differentiate warmer buckets; traders eye today's 18Z model runs for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 22?
23°C 26%
17°C或以下 26%
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
17°C或以下
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C或以上
26%
23°C 26%
17°C或以下 26%
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
17°C或以下
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C或以上
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's highest temperature on March 22 shows near-even odds across outcomes from 17°C or below to 27°C or higher, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting a 18-26°C spread amid a transitioning weather pattern. A weak subtropical ridge promises mild southerly flows and solar insolation favoring mid-20s peaks, but lingering post-frontal cloud cover and basin topography could cap maxima nearer 20°C by trapping cool air overnight. Recent mild spells elevated 23-26°C probabilities slightly above historical March norms of 17-19°C, while urban heat island effects in the city differentiate warmer buckets; traders eye today's 18Z model runs for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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