Tight odds across Chongqing's March 23 highest temperature outcomes reflect profound uncertainty from divergent weather model forecasts during the city's volatile early spring transition. Official China Meteorological Administration projections cluster at 16-18°C, aligning with historical March averages of about 17°C, while GFS ensembles imply slightly warmer peaks near 19-20°C amid a post-cold-front warming trend and potential southerly winds. ECMWF runs favor cooler maxima around 17°C, influenced by lingering frontal cloudiness and jet stream positioning, creating a narrow spread that traders parse via ensemble probabilities—subtly tilting toward 20°C as urban heat island effects amplify marginal warmth in this subtropical basin. Key watch: 12Z model updates today for resolution cues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
16°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight odds across Chongqing's March 23 highest temperature outcomes reflect profound uncertainty from divergent weather model forecasts during the city's volatile early spring transition. Official China Meteorological Administration projections cluster at 16-18°C, aligning with historical March averages of about 17°C, while GFS ensembles imply slightly warmer peaks near 19-20°C amid a post-cold-front warming trend and potential southerly winds. ECMWF runs favor cooler maxima around 17°C, influenced by lingering frontal cloudiness and jet stream positioning, creating a narrow spread that traders parse via ensemble probabilities—subtly tilting toward 20°C as urban heat island effects amplify marginal warmth in this subtropical basin. Key watch: 12Z model updates today for resolution cues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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