Trader sentiment for Beijing's March 24 high temperature remains evenly distributed across outcomes due to conflicting global weather models like ECMWF and GFS, which diverge on the strength of an approaching cold front from Mongolia versus lingering southerly winds from recent mild conditions. Historical data from the China Meteorological Administration shows late-March highs averaging 13-15°C, with variability from 5°C lows to 25°C peaks influenced by frontal passages and urban heat effects. Current upper-air analyses indicate 500 hPa troughing that could suppress temps below 16°C or allow advection of warmer air for 23-25°C if shear weakens; traders eye afternoon observations and evening forecast updates for differentiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 24?
15°C or below 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 26%
15°C or below
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C or higher
26%
15°C or below 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 26%
15°C or below
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Beijing's March 24 high temperature remains evenly distributed across outcomes due to conflicting global weather models like ECMWF and GFS, which diverge on the strength of an approaching cold front from Mongolia versus lingering southerly winds from recent mild conditions. Historical data from the China Meteorological Administration shows late-March highs averaging 13-15°C, with variability from 5°C lows to 25°C peaks influenced by frontal passages and urban heat effects. Current upper-air analyses indicate 500 hPa troughing that could suppress temps below 16°C or allow advection of warmer air for 23-25°C if shear weakens; traders eye afternoon observations and evening forecast updates for differentiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions