Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of projected highs for Beijing on March 22, fueling evenly split trader odds across 16–26°C outcomes, with 21°C slightly edging at 26%. A weak cold front from Mongolia introduces uncertainty, potentially capping temps at 16°C or below if it advances early with northerly winds and cloud cover, versus 20–23°C under delayed arrival allowing southerly flow and urban heat island amplification. March historical averages hover near 14°C, but recent mild anomalies and low wind shear heighten variability, as official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 22?
21°C 26%
16°C or below 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 26%
16°C or below
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
26%
21°C 26%
16°C or below 26%
17°C 26%
18°C 26%
16°C or below
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of projected highs for Beijing on March 22, fueling evenly split trader odds across 16–26°C outcomes, with 21°C slightly edging at 26%. A weak cold front from Mongolia introduces uncertainty, potentially capping temps at 16°C or below if it advances early with northerly winds and cloud cover, versus 20–23°C under delayed arrival allowing southerly flow and urban heat island amplification. March historical averages hover near 14°C, but recent mild anomalies and low wind shear heighten variability, as official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions