Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24 reflects profound uncertainty in transitional spring weather, with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models diverging widely across 11-20°C due to variable cloud cover, potential cold fronts from northern China, and the city's basin topography amplifying diurnal swings. Historical March 24 highs average 16-17°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent mild El Niño residuals and urban heat islands tilt odds slightly toward 15-19°C outcomes. Leading catalysts include tomorrow's CMA 00Z update and satellite observations of incoming moisture; low-confidence short-range guidance keeps probabilities evenly split at 25.5%, underscoring model spread in planetary boundary layer stability over the Yangtze region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
10°C or below 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
10°C or below
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C or higher
26%
10°C or below 26%
11°C 26%
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
10°C or below
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's highest temperature on March 24 reflects profound uncertainty in transitional spring weather, with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models diverging widely across 11-20°C due to variable cloud cover, potential cold fronts from northern China, and the city's basin topography amplifying diurnal swings. Historical March 24 highs average 16-17°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent mild El Niño residuals and urban heat islands tilt odds slightly toward 15-19°C outcomes. Leading catalysts include tomorrow's CMA 00Z update and satellite observations of incoming moisture; low-confidence short-range guidance keeps probabilities evenly split at 25.5%, underscoring model spread in planetary boundary layer stability over the Yangtze region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions