**Trader sentiment for Seoul's March 22 high temperature centers on a narrow 12-14°C range**, with 32.5% implied odds for 14°C or higher edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (23%), propelled by Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting 13-14°C amid light southerly winds and partial sun after a cold snap. Ensemble models (ECMWF, GFS) diverge on cloud cover thickness—influencing insolation and boundary layer warming—while weakening Siberian High reduces cold advection risks. Historical March 22 highs average 12.5°C, but this spring's +1.5°C anomaly supports upside potential; monitor hourly KMA updates for resolution-defining peaks at Gimpo Observatory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
14°C or higher 32%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 14%
$89,420 交易量
$89,420 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
32%
14°C or higher 32%
12°C 26%
13°C 23%
11°C 14%
$89,420 交易量
$89,420 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
14%
12°C
26%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seoul's March 22 high temperature centers on a narrow 12-14°C range**, with 32.5% implied odds for 14°C or higher edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (23%), propelled by Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting 13-14°C amid light southerly winds and partial sun after a cold snap. Ensemble models (ECMWF, GFS) diverge on cloud cover thickness—influencing insolation and boundary layer warming—while weakening Siberian High reduces cold advection risks. Historical March 22 highs average 12.5°C, but this spring's +1.5°C anomaly supports upside potential; monitor hourly KMA updates for resolution-defining peaks at Gimpo Observatory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions