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地震 預測與賠率

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2027年之前是否發生10.0級或以上地震?

2027年之前是否發生10.0級或以上地震?

4%

$645K 交易量

$39.2K Liq.

27

Ends 6 個月內

2027年之前發生9.0級或以上地震?

2027年之前發生9.0級或以上地震?

6%

$227K 交易量

$9.5K Liq.

6

Ends 6 個月內

2027年前洛杉磯發生6.5級以上地震?

2027年前洛杉磯發生6.5級以上地震?

9%

$12.4K 交易量

$569 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震? (更高的打擊)

6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震? (更高的打擊)

52%

≤8

$137K 交易量

$27.6K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

6月15日至6月21日發生了多少次6.5級或以上的地震?

6月15日至6月21日發生了多少次6.5級或以上的地震?

87%

3

$52.7K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 19 小時內

2026年大火山爆發( VEI ≥ 6 ) ?

2026年大火山爆發( VEI ≥ 6 ) ?

8%

$111K 交易量

$12.9K Liq.

9

Ends 9 個月內

6月15日至6月21日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震?

6月15日至6月21日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震?

100%

>9

$37.1K 交易量

$24.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 19 小時內

地球是平的嗎?

地球是平的嗎?

3%

$17.4K 交易量

$215K Liq.

30

Ends 6 個月內

Megaquake by July 31?

Megaquake by July 31?

16%

$1.0K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

6月30日前發生超級地震?

6月30日前發生超級地震?

4%

$80.0K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

任何4級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎?

任何4級颶風會在2027年之前登陸美國嗎?

30%

$333K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

11

Ends 6 個月內

2026年的自然災害?

2026年的自然災害?

25%

$224K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

10

Ends 6 個月內

《Nothing Ever Happens: 2026》

《Nothing Ever Happens: 2026》

83%

$621K 交易量

$34.4K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

2026年有幾次7.0或以上的地震?

2026年有幾次7.0或以上的地震?

35%

14–16

$1M 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Megaquake by December 31?

Megaquake by December 31?

<1%

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Megaquake by December 31?

Megaquake by December 31?

99%

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Megaquake by September 30?

Megaquake by September 30?

<1%

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 地震.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for 地震 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2027年之前是否發生10.0級或以上地震?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “《Nothing Ever Happens: 2026》”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026年有幾次7.0或以上的地震?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026年有幾次7.0或以上的地震?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to 14–16. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 地震 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.