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icon for 地球是平的嗎？

地球是平的嗎？

icon for 地球是平的嗎？

地球是平的嗎？

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$51,613 交易量

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$51,613 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming scientific consensus, reinforced through decades of satellite imagery, space missions, and physics demonstrations widely depicted in documentaries and educational media, drives the 97.5% implied probability against a flat Earth. Trader sentiment reflects this cultural dominance, where mainstream narratives from NASA footage to globe-spanning films and viral science explainers have cemented the spherical model as settled fact, with minimal recent momentum for contrarian views beyond niche online communities. While realistic upset scenarios remain remote given the absence of credible new evidence or paradigm-shifting announcements, any hypothetical breakthrough in alternative cosmology would need to upend established visual records and global navigation systems to shift odds meaningfully before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$51,613
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming scientific consensus, reinforced through decades of satellite imagery, space missions, and physics demonstrations widely depicted in documentaries and educational media, drives the 97.5% implied probability against a flat Earth. Trader sentiment reflects this cultural dominance, where mainstream narratives from NASA footage to globe-spanning films and viral science explainers have cemented the spherical model as settled fact, with minimal recent momentum for contrarian views beyond niche online communities. While realistic upset scenarios remain remote given the absence of credible new evidence or paradigm-shifting announcements, any hypothetical breakthrough in alternative cosmology would need to upend established visual records and global navigation systems to shift odds meaningfully before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$51,613
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"地球是平的嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "地球是平的嗎？" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "地球是平的嗎？" has generated $51.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "地球是平的嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "地球是平的嗎？" is "地球是平的嗎？" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "地球是平的嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.