Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich leading at 36.4% implied probability on the strength of strong festival buzz for his performance in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Matt Damon sits at 24.5% following the summer release of Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, where his physically demanding lead role has sustained momentum despite some softening post-buzz. Tom Cruise at 11.5% and Andrew Scott at 16.5% benefit from overdue-narrative appeal and critical attention in their respective vehicles, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan hinge on upcoming fall festival reactions and guild precursors. The competitive dynamics stem from multiple star-driven films lacking a clear consensus frontrunner this far out, with historical voting patterns favoring established performers in awards-contending titles. Key upcoming catalysts include Toronto and New York festival screenings plus guild nominations in early 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主
2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主
約翰·馬克維奇 36.4%
麥特·戴蒙 25%
安德魯·斯科特 17%
湯姆·克魯斯 11%
$136,280 交易量
$136,280 交易量
2027-03-14
約翰·馬克維奇
36%
麥特·戴蒙
25%
安德魯·斯科特
17%
湯姆·克魯斯
11%
羅伯特·帕丁森
5%
賽巴斯汀·斯坦
2%
萊恩·葛斯林
2%
傑瑞米·斯特朗
1%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
賈法爾·傑克森
1%
Sam Rockwell
1%
哈維爾·巴登
1%
Pedro Pascal
<1%
亞當·崔佛
<1%
布萊德·彼特
<1%
羅伯特·阿拉馬約
<1%
約翰·特托羅
<1%
喬什·奧康納
<1%
約翰·馬克維奇 36.4%
麥特·戴蒙 25%
安德魯·斯科特 17%
湯姆·克魯斯 11%
$136,280 交易量
$136,280 交易量
2027-03-14
約翰·馬克維奇
$11,194 交易量
36%
麥特·戴蒙
$37,720 交易量
25%
安德魯·斯科特
$14,618 交易量
17%
湯姆·克魯斯
$14,035 交易量
11%
羅伯特·帕丁森
$5,878 交易量
5%
賽巴斯汀·斯坦
$3,414 交易量
2%
萊恩·葛斯林
$5,152 交易量
2%
傑瑞米·斯特朗
$4,417 交易量
1%
提莫西·查拉梅
$4,107 交易量
1%
賈法爾·傑克森
$4,560 交易量
1%
Sam Rockwell
$4,855 交易量
1%
哈維爾·巴登
$3,191 交易量
1%
Pedro Pascal
$3,594 交易量
<1%
亞當·崔佛
$2,636 交易量
<1%
布萊德·彼特
$8,360 交易量
<1%
羅伯特·阿拉馬約
$3,378 交易量
<1%
約翰·特托羅
$3,335 交易量
<1%
喬什·奧康納
$1,837 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich leading at 36.4% implied probability on the strength of strong festival buzz for his performance in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Matt Damon sits at 24.5% following the summer release of Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, where his physically demanding lead role has sustained momentum despite some softening post-buzz. Tom Cruise at 11.5% and Andrew Scott at 16.5% benefit from overdue-narrative appeal and critical attention in their respective vehicles, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan hinge on upcoming fall festival reactions and guild precursors. The competitive dynamics stem from multiple star-driven films lacking a clear consensus frontrunner this far out, with historical voting patterns favoring established performers in awards-contending titles. Key upcoming catalysts include Toronto and New York festival screenings plus guild nominations in early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
交易量
$136,280結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich leading at 36.4% implied probability on the strength of strong festival buzz for his performance in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Matt Damon sits at 24.5% following the summer release of Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, where his physically demanding lead role has sustained momentum despite some softening post-buzz. Tom Cruise at 11.5% and Andrew Scott at 16.5% benefit from overdue-narrative appeal and critical attention in their respective vehicles, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan hinge on upcoming fall festival reactions and guild precursors. The competitive dynamics stem from multiple star-driven films lacking a clear consensus frontrunner this far out, with historical voting patterns favoring established performers in awards-contending titles. Key upcoming catalysts include Toronto and New York festival screenings plus guild nominations in early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$136,280結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETEarly trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field, with John Malkovich leading at 36.4% implied probability on the strength of strong festival buzz for his performance in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Matt Damon sits at 24.5% following the summer release of Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey*, where his physically demanding lead role has sustained momentum despite some softening post-buzz. Tom Cruise at 11.5% and Andrew Scott at 16.5% benefit from overdue-narrative appeal and critical attention in their respective vehicles, while lower-priced names like Robert Pattinson and Sebastian Stan hinge on upcoming fall festival reactions and guild precursors. The competitive dynamics stem from multiple star-driven films lacking a clear consensus frontrunner this far out, with historical voting patterns favoring established performers in awards-contending titles. Key upcoming catalysts include Toronto and New York festival screenings plus guild nominations in early 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions