Taylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' emphasis on her sustained streaming dominance, record VMA history, and strong year-long metrics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna's 13 nominations and opening performance slot after 23 years add notable momentum, yet her 20.5% odds indicate bettors view her campaign as secondary to Swift's scale. Ariana Grande and Sabrina Carpenter sit near 18.5% and 1.5% respectively amid their solid nomination counts and recent releases, while Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen, and others trail with single-digit chances. The tight clustering among nominees highlights fan voting's role through September 25, with late performance buzz and chart updates as key swing factors before the Los Angeles telecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年度VMA藝術家
2026年度VMA藝術家
泰勒·斯威夫特 59%
瑪丹娜 21%
Ariana Grande 19%
摩根·沃倫 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
泰勒·斯威夫特
59%
瑪丹娜
21%
Ariana Grande
19%
摩根·沃倫
2%
Bruno Mars
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
2%
泰勒·斯威夫特 59%
瑪丹娜 21%
Ariana Grande 19%
摩根·沃倫 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
泰勒·斯威夫特
$48 交易量
59%
瑪丹娜
$24 交易量
21%
Ariana Grande
$26 交易量
19%
摩根·沃倫
$22 交易量
2%
Bruno Mars
$22 交易量
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
$24 交易量
2%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' emphasis on her sustained streaming dominance, record VMA history, and strong year-long metrics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna's 13 nominations and opening performance slot after 23 years add notable momentum, yet her 20.5% odds indicate bettors view her campaign as secondary to Swift's scale. Ariana Grande and Sabrina Carpenter sit near 18.5% and 1.5% respectively amid their solid nomination counts and recent releases, while Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen, and others trail with single-digit chances. The tight clustering among nominees highlights fan voting's role through September 25, with late performance buzz and chart updates as key swing factors before the Los Angeles telecast.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$166結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' emphasis on her sustained streaming dominance, record VMA history, and strong year-long metrics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna's 13 nominations and opening performance slot after 23 years add notable momentum, yet her 20.5% odds indicate bettors view her campaign as secondary to Swift's scale. Ariana Grande and Sabrina Carpenter sit near 18.5% and 1.5% respectively amid their solid nomination counts and recent releases, while Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen, and others trail with single-digit chances. The tight clustering among nominees highlights fan voting's role through September 25, with late performance buzz and chart updates as key swing factors before the Los Angeles telecast.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$166結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETTaylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' emphasis on her sustained streaming dominance, record VMA history, and strong year-long metrics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna's 13 nominations and opening performance slot after 23 years add notable momentum, yet her 20.5% odds indicate bettors view her campaign as secondary to Swift's scale. Ariana Grande and Sabrina Carpenter sit near 18.5% and 1.5% respectively amid their solid nomination counts and recent releases, while Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen, and others trail with single-digit chances. The tight clustering among nominees highlights fan voting's role through September 25, with late performance buzz and chart updates as key swing factors before the Los Angeles telecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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