BTS’s “Swim” leads the VMA Song of the Year market at 61% implied probability, driven by its No. 1 Billboard Hot 100 debut, sustained global streaming, and the group’s dedicated fan voting base ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominated alongside tracks like Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntr/x’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!,” the BTS single also earned a Best K-Pop nod, reinforcing its momentum. Fan voting closes September 25, giving organized supporters a direct path to influence the outcome, while other nominees trail on combined chart longevity and mobilization. Traders appear to price in BTS’s historical VMA strength and current promotional activity as decisive factors in the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年度VMA歌曲
Swim(BTS) 61%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 23%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress) 14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye) 14%
Swim(BTS)
61%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)
19%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress)
14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye)
14%
Golden(Huntrix)
8%
Bring Your Love(瑪丹娜與薩布麗娜·卡本特)
8%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean)
7%
Swim(BTS) 61%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 23%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress) 14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye) 14%
Swim(BTS)
61%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)
19%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress)
14%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye)
14%
Golden(Huntrix)
8%
Bring Your Love(瑪丹娜與薩布麗娜·卡本特)
8%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean)
7%
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
BTS’s “Swim” leads the VMA Song of the Year market at 61% implied probability, driven by its No. 1 Billboard Hot 100 debut, sustained global streaming, and the group’s dedicated fan voting base ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominated alongside tracks like Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntr/x’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!,” the BTS single also earned a Best K-Pop nod, reinforcing its momentum. Fan voting closes September 25, giving organized supporters a direct path to influence the outcome, while other nominees trail on combined chart longevity and mobilization. Traders appear to price in BTS’s historical VMA strength and current promotional activity as decisive factors in the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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