BTS’s “Swim” leads the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop market at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the track’s strong global chart trajectory from the Arirang album, its dual nomination for Song of the Year, and BTS’s unmatched fan-voting power in MTV’s fan-determined categories. The group’s prior VMA dominance, including multiple Best Group wins and a recent VMAJ group video victory for the song, reinforces trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Newer or solo-leaning entries such as Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” Lisa’s “Dream,” Blackpink’s “Jump,” Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” sit at lower odds, reflecting comparatively limited momentum and smaller organized fan blocs in this specific fan-voted race. Upcoming social-category voting rounds and final fan tallies remain the key swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於VMA Best K-Pop 2026
VMA Best K-Pop 2026
Swim（BTS） 58%
RedRed（Cortis） 14%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim 與 J-Hope 合作） 13%
Jump（Blackpink） 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
73%
RedRed（Cortis）
14%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim 與 J-Hope 合作）
13%
Jump（Blackpink）
8%
Dream（Lisa 與坂口健太郎合作）
8%
Pinky Up（Katseye）
7%
Swim（BTS） 58%
RedRed（Cortis） 14%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim 與 J-Hope 合作） 13%
Jump（Blackpink） 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
$82 交易量
73%
RedRed（Cortis）
$0 交易量
14%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim 與 J-Hope 合作）
$0 交易量
13%
Jump（Blackpink）
$0 交易量
8%
Dream（Lisa 與坂口健太郎合作）
$0 交易量
8%
Pinky Up（Katseye）
$0 交易量
7%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” leads the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop market at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the track’s strong global chart trajectory from the Arirang album, its dual nomination for Song of the Year, and BTS’s unmatched fan-voting power in MTV’s fan-determined categories. The group’s prior VMA dominance, including multiple Best Group wins and a recent VMAJ group video victory for the song, reinforces trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Newer or solo-leaning entries such as Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” Lisa’s “Dream,” Blackpink’s “Jump,” Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” sit at lower odds, reflecting comparatively limited momentum and smaller organized fan blocs in this specific fan-voted race. Upcoming social-category voting rounds and final fan tallies remain the key swing factors.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$82結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” leads the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop market at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the track’s strong global chart trajectory from the Arirang album, its dual nomination for Song of the Year, and BTS’s unmatched fan-voting power in MTV’s fan-determined categories. The group’s prior VMA dominance, including multiple Best Group wins and a recent VMAJ group video victory for the song, reinforces trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Newer or solo-leaning entries such as Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” Lisa’s “Dream,” Blackpink’s “Jump,” Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” sit at lower odds, reflecting comparatively limited momentum and smaller organized fan blocs in this specific fan-voted race. Upcoming social-category voting rounds and final fan tallies remain the key swing factors.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$82結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETBTS’s “Swim” leads the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop market at 74.5% implied probability, driven by the track’s strong global chart trajectory from the Arirang album, its dual nomination for Song of the Year, and BTS’s unmatched fan-voting power in MTV’s fan-determined categories. The group’s prior VMA dominance, including multiple Best Group wins and a recent VMAJ group video victory for the song, reinforces trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Newer or solo-leaning entries such as Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” Lisa’s “Dream,” Blackpink’s “Jump,” Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” sit at lower odds, reflecting comparatively limited momentum and smaller organized fan blocs in this specific fan-voted race. Upcoming social-category voting rounds and final fan tallies remain the key swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions