Strong presales and early tracking in the $40-50 million range, fueled by the 1990s nostalgia wave and the return of Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman as the Owens sisters, have shaped trader sentiment around mid-to-high 40s for the September 10-11 opening. Recent positive signals include the London premiere with the stars, robust advance ticket sales reported by Empire City Box Office and Box Office Theory, and minimal September competition beyond the following week's Resident Evil title. Yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (37.5%) to under $38 million, reflecting caution typical for legacy sequels where final-weekend adjustments, weather, or review timing can shift results. Historical patterns for similar cult revivals and the film's cult following add upside potential, while the wide distribution across brackets underscores ongoing uncertainty ahead of the post-Labor Day debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《實用魔法2》首映週末票房
5100萬以上 47%
少於3,800萬 27%
3,800萬-4,100萬 26%
4100萬-4400萬 25%
少於3,800萬
27%
3,800萬-4,100萬
26%
4100萬-4400萬
25%
4,400萬至4,700萬
25%
4700萬-5100萬
24%
5100萬以上
47%
5100萬以上 47%
少於3,800萬 27%
3,800萬-4,100萬 26%
4100萬-4400萬 25%
少於3,800萬
27%
3,800萬-4,100萬
26%
4100萬-4400萬
25%
4,400萬至4,700萬
25%
4700萬-5100萬
24%
5100萬以上
47%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Strong presales and early tracking in the $40-50 million range, fueled by the 1990s nostalgia wave and the return of Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman as the Owens sisters, have shaped trader sentiment around mid-to-high 40s for the September 10-11 opening. Recent positive signals include the London premiere with the stars, robust advance ticket sales reported by Empire City Box Office and Box Office Theory, and minimal September competition beyond the following week's Resident Evil title. Yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (37.5%) to under $38 million, reflecting caution typical for legacy sequels where final-weekend adjustments, weather, or review timing can shift results. Historical patterns for similar cult revivals and the film's cult following add upside potential, while the wide distribution across brackets underscores ongoing uncertainty ahead of the post-Labor Day debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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