Ensemble weather models from global forecasting centers like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by Singapore's NEA, project the March 23 peak temperature clustering near 33°C, driving the tight race between 32°C (29.5%), 33°C (30.5%), and 34°C (21.5%) implied probabilities. Low wind speeds and persistent sunny intervals favor these outcomes by enhancing solar heating over the urban heat island of Singapore, while partial cloud cover from inter-monsoon conditions caps extremes above 35°C. Historical March highs average 32.5°C, with rare spikes tied to stronger subsidence inversions absent in current soundings; traders weigh this uncertainty against yesterday's 34.2°C reading and minimal overnight cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於新加坡3月23日的最高溫度?
新加坡3月23日的最高溫度?
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 24%
31°C 14%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C或以上
5%
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 24%
31°C 14%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from global forecasting centers like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by Singapore's NEA, project the March 23 peak temperature clustering near 33°C, driving the tight race between 32°C (29.5%), 33°C (30.5%), and 34°C (21.5%) implied probabilities. Low wind speeds and persistent sunny intervals favor these outcomes by enhancing solar heating over the urban heat island of Singapore, while partial cloud cover from inter-monsoon conditions caps extremes above 35°C. Historical March highs average 32.5°C, with rare spikes tied to stronger subsidence inversions absent in current soundings; traders weigh this uncertainty against yesterday's 34.2°C reading and minimal overnight cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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