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icon for 馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

icon for 馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名

Fufuca 28%

Simplício Araújo 28%

Raimundo Moreira 28%

Wilson Leite 27%

Polymarket
最新

Fufuca 28%

Simplício Araújo 28%

Raimundo Moreira 28%

Wilson Leite 27%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$0 交易量

28%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$0 交易量

28%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$0 交易量

28%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$0 交易量

27%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$0 交易量

23%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$0 交易量

23%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$0 交易量

23%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$0 交易量

22%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$0 交易量

21%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$0 交易量

21%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$0 交易量

21%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fufuca" at 28%, followed by "Simplício Araújo" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" is "Fufuca" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Simplício Araújo" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬拉尼昂參議院選舉:第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.