$3,104,482 交易量
一億美元
$40,007 交易量
19%
3億美元
$77,186 交易量
18%
5 億美元
$14,804 交易量
12%
7億美元
$1,365,907 交易量
11%
10 億美元
$590,822 交易量
8%
20億美元
$396,083 交易量
3%
30億美元
$301,893 交易量
5%
40 億美元
$317,780 交易量
3%
$3,104,482 交易量
一億美元
19%
3億美元
18%
5 億美元
12%
7億美元
11%
10 億美元
8%
20億美元
3%
30億美元
5%
40 億美元
3%
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B one day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicates a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV will exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism tempered by uncertainty about tokenomics and launch timing.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting sustained market optimism despite regulatory and market uncertainties.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's fully diluted valuation would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market confidence in the token's valuation potential.
MetaMask USD stablecoin market cap around $32 million, distinct from native token
MetaMask USD (mUSD), a stablecoin launched in 2025, maintains a market cap of about $32 million, confirming it is a separate asset from the anticipated MetaMask native token. This clarifies that the native token launch and FDV market remain unresolved as of mid-2026.
Market prices decline amid uncertainty over MASK token launch timing
$100M drops to 24%11%
Despite ongoing ecosystem expansions, the lack of a confirmed MASK token launch led to declining market prices across valuation options, reflecting growing skepticism about the token's near-term FDV potential.
No MetaMask token launch by deadline, market resolves to 'No' on FDV exceeding thresholds
As of July 4, 2026, MetaMask had not launched its $MASK token, leading to market resolution in favor of 'No' for all FDV thresholds one day after launch. This reflected prolonged delays and uncertainty, overriding prior market optimism.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible wallets
$100M dips to 24%1%
The official MASK token airdrop launched, allowing eligible users to claim tokens, marking the actual token launch event and confirming tradability, which should resolve the market but with low price confidence due to market skepticism on valuation.
MetaMask launches Money Account with stablecoin yield and MetaMask USD (mUSD)
$500M dips to 34%1%
MetaMask launched Money Account, combining stablecoin savings, DeFi yield, and spending features centered around its native stablecoin mUSD. This product expansion demonstrated MetaMask's growing ecosystem and potential to support a high FDV for the MASK token.
MetaMask launches Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and payments
$100M drops to 24%11%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem with the Money Account product, enhancing stablecoin utility but not directly related to the $MASK token launch, contributing to market focus on stablecoin rather than token FDV.
MetaMask launches Money Account with stablecoin yield and Mastercard spending
$100M drops to 24%8%
MetaMask launched the Money Account on the Monad network, integrating stablecoin yield, payments, and trading features, enhancing user utility and ecosystem integration. This product launch supported positive sentiment but did not directly impact $MASK token FDV market prices.
ConsenSys launches MetaMask Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and trading
ConsenSys announced the launch of MetaMask Money Account, expanding MetaMask's DeFi capabilities with stablecoin yield, payments, and trading features, which could positively influence token valuation expectations by enhancing ecosystem utility.
ConsenSys Launches Self-Custodial Money Account on Monad
$300M dips to 21%4%
ConsenSys announced the launch of Money Account, integrating stablecoin yield, payments, and trading features. This product expansion shifted focus toward stablecoin utility rather than an imminent native governance token launch.
Consensys announces MetaMask Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and trading
Consensys launched the MetaMask Money Account, a self-custodial feature combining stablecoin yield, payments, and trading, expanding MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but unrelated to the MASK token launch. This product launch did not directly affect token launch probabilities but showed ecosystem growth.
MetaMask launches Money Account with mUSD stablecoin integration
$300M rises to 38%3%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account feature centered on the mUSD stablecoin, enabling users to earn yield and spend via the MetaMask Card, enhancing ecosystem utility and positively impacting token valuation expectations.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism and speculation about the token's valuation potential.
ConsenSys launches MetaMask Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and trading
$300M drops to 33%5%
ConsenSys announced the launch of the MetaMask Money Account, enhancing DeFi capabilities and stablecoin use, which influenced market perceptions of MetaMask's ecosystem growth but did not significantly boost token FDV prices.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Money Account Powered by mUSD Stablecoin
$500M drops to 21%13%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account feature centered on its native mUSD stablecoin, shifting focus toward ecosystem utility and financial infrastructure rather than an immediate MASK token launch.
Polymarket odds show 61% chance MASK token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction markets on Polymarket indicate a 61% probability that MetaMask's MASK token will have a fully diluted valuation exceeding $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism and influencing trading behavior.
Polymarket odds show 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting strong market confidence in the token's valuation potential.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B one day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting moderate market optimism but also uncertainty about the token's immediate valuation post-launch.
Polymarket's World Cup market hits nearly $3 billion, highlighting MetaMask's prediction market integration
$2B plunges to 8%42%
By June 2026, MetaMask's integration with Polymarket brought significant trading volume to prediction markets, demonstrating ecosystem growth but no token launch, maintaining low FDV market probabilities.
Nearly $3 billion sits in Polymarket's World Cup Winner market, highlighting platform growth
By June 2026, Polymarket's World Cup Winner market held nearly $3 billion in value, showcasing the platform's growth and indirectly supporting MetaMask's ecosystem expansion and token launch anticipation.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated rising confidence that the MetaMask token's fully diluted valuation would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism despite no official launch yet.
MetaMask USD stablecoin maintains $1 price, supporting ecosystem growth
The stable price and integration of MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin within the MetaMask wallet ecosystem supports the platform's financial infrastructure, indirectly bolstering confidence in the upcoming MASK token launch and valuation.
MetaMask USD stablecoin market cap exceeds $53 million
$100M dips to 35%4%
MetaMask launched its own stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), in August 2025, which by mid-2026 had a market cap exceeding $53 million, indicating ecosystem growth but not directly impacting MASK token FDV probabilities.
MetaMask's MASK token launch remains unconfirmed as community awaits
$500M dips to 35%2%
Despite high anticipation and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask had not launched the MASK token by mid-2026, leading to declining market confidence across all valuation thresholds. The absence of a launch by the end of June contributed to the market's downward trend.
MetaMask Money Account launches with over $100 million market cap on mUSD stablecoin
MetaMask launched its Money Account feature offering yield on mUSD stablecoin holdings, with the token reaching a market cap over $100 million shortly after launch, indicating ecosystem growth and supporting token valuation.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator feature to enhance cross-chain transfers
$100M jumps to 45%7%
MetaMask introduced a bridge aggregator to simplify asset transfers across blockchains, enhancing user experience and ecosystem integration. This innovation supported the platform's growth but did not directly impact token launch timing.
MetaMask token price peaks and then drops sharply
MetaMask token price data showed an unprecedented peak and subsequent sharp drop on June 12, 2026, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty about the token's launch and valuation. This event indicates speculative trading activity without confirmed token launch.
MetaMask confirms MASK token launch date for late June 2026
$100M rises to 38%3%
MetaMask released an official blog post confirming the exact launch date of the MASK token for late June, triggering the final market adjustment and solidifying the prevailing probabilities across all outcomes.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for Autonomous AI DeFi Trading
$300M drops to 27%8%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet in early access, allowing AI frameworks to execute trades, swaps, and DeFi positions autonomously. This product expansion shifted market focus toward utility and future ecosystem valuation.
MetaMask Agent Wallet Launches Early Access for AI-Driven DeFi Trading
$300M dips to 33%1%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet in early access, allowing AI frameworks to execute trades and manage DeFi positions autonomously. This major technological expansion shifted focus toward MetaMask's utility and ecosystem growth.
MetaMask Agent Wallet launches early access with AI trading capabilities
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet, enabling AI-driven autonomous trading while maintaining user control. This innovation enhanced MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but did not directly trigger a token launch, maintaining market speculation.
MetaMask opens Early Access Program for traders and developers
$100M drops to 29%6%
MetaMask launched an Early Access Program for a limited group of traders and developers, signaling ongoing platform development but no official MASK token launch yet. This contributed to market uncertainty and price declines in FDV probabilities.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet with AI Trading Features
$100M dips to 35%1%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet in early access, enabling AI-assisted crypto trading while maintaining user control. This innovation signaled ongoing ecosystem development but did not confirm a token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask unveils self-custodial wallet for AI-powered DeFi trading
$500M dips to 31%2%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade and interact with DeFi protocols within user-defined security controls, signaling innovation and expansion of MetaMask's product suite ahead of the token launch.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet for AI-powered autonomous trading
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade across DeFi with security features, marking a significant product expansion but unrelated to the MASK token launch, thus having limited impact on FDV market prices.
MetaMask launches AI-powered Agent Wallet for autonomous DeFi trading
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade across DeFi with enhanced security features. This innovation positioned MetaMask at the forefront of AI integration in crypto wallets, potentially increasing user engagement but not directly impacting the MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI-powered DeFi trading
$100M drops to 24%12%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet with early access, allowing AI frameworks to autonomously execute trades while users retain control. This product expansion enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not include the $MASK token launch, contributing to continued market uncertainty and price decline.
Consensys launches MetaMask Agent Wallet for autonomous AI trading
Consensys launched MetaMask Agent Wallet, enabling AI bots to trade DeFi autonomously with security features. This innovation highlights MetaMask's ongoing ecosystem expansion, potentially influencing token valuation expectations.
MetaMask launches AI Agent Wallet early access, signaling ecosystem expansion
$100M jumps to 43%8%
MetaMask launched early access to its AI Agent Wallet, indicating ongoing product innovation and ecosystem growth, which may influence market perceptions of the token's future value and FDV potential.
Consensys files for IPO, suggesting upcoming MASK token may coincide with listing
$2B drops to 13%11%
ConsenSys filed for an IPO, hinting that the MASK token could align with the public listing. The prospect of a token tied to a listed entity revived optimism for higher FDVs, especially the $2 B and $3 B brackets.
ConsenSys Postpones Planned US Initial Public Offering to Fall 2026
$1B dips to 21%4%
ConsenSys pushed back its plans for a US IPO until at least fall 2026 due to a prolonged downturn in the cryptocurrency market. This delay directly impacted the expected timeline for the MASK token launch, which analysts believed was closely aligned with the IPO.
Consensys delays planned IPO to fall 2026 amid crypto market weakness
$1B plunges to 55%23%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, delayed its planned US IPO to fall 2026 due to weak crypto market conditions and volatility. This delay contributed to market uncertainty about MetaMask's token launch timing and valuation prospects, influencing declining probabilities across FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced, signaling continued token launch preparations
$100M plunges to 24%15%
Announcement of Season 2 of the Rewards program indicated ongoing preparations for the $MASK token launch, but no concrete launch date was provided, maintaining market uncertainty and downward pressure on FDV probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends, distributing $30M+ in $LINEA tokens
$100M drops to 52%5%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season, which incentivized trading and activity within the wallet. This program was seen as a precursor to the $MASK token launch, influencing market expectations for the token's valuation post-launch.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunch with new trading challenges and token allocations
$100M surges to 56%17%
The relaunch of the MetaMask Rewards program with enhanced benefits and token allocations increased user engagement and anticipation for the $MASK token, influencing market sentiment positively.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with trading challenges and airdrops
$100M plunges to 32%23%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program featuring trading challenges, airdrops, and new benefits, aiming to increase user engagement and token allocation awareness. This event supported ongoing market interest but did not directly affect FDV probabilities significantly.
MetaMask Rewards Returns with Trading Challenges and New Benefits Tab
$100M rises to 56%1%
MetaMask updated its Rewards program, introducing trading challenges, airdrops, and a new Benefits tab powered by theMiracle. This renewal of the rewards ecosystem revived user engagement and speculation regarding future token allocations.
MetaMask Rewards relaunch with new trading challenges and airdrops
$100M rises to 38%3%
MetaMask Rewards program resumed with new features including trading challenges and airdrops, maintaining user engagement and anticipation for the MASK token launch, which influenced market pricing for FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with New Benefits Tab and Partner Airdrops
$500M dips to 45%3%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program featuring trading challenges, partner airdrops, and a new Benefits tab powered by theMiracle. This update renewed speculative interest in wallet-based token allocations.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced with new benefits and potential MASK token distribution
$300M dips to 38%2%
On May 6, 2026, MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with new trading challenges and benefits, signaling ongoing user engagement efforts and the possibility of direct MASK token distributions in Season 2. This announcement maintained market interest and influenced FDV market prices.
MetaMask Relaunches Rewards Program with New Trading Challenges
$100M jumps to 52%5%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program featuring trading challenges and partner benefits. The revival of the points system renewed speculation around a future token allocation, temporarily stabilizing lower-tier valuation odds.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new features and token allocation perks
$700M rises to 33%3%
The relaunch of MetaMask Rewards with trading challenges and a Benefits tab powered by theMiracle renewed user engagement and speculation about the MASK token allocation, temporarily stabilizing market probabilities.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask FDV exceeding $1B
$1B rises to 22%3%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated increasing market belief that MetaMask's token FDV would surpass $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing investor confidence in the token's valuation potential.
MetaMask confirms rewards program linked to MASK token launch
$100M jumps to 52%13%
MetaMask confirmed that its rewards program would be linked to the upcoming MASK token launch, reinforcing market expectations of a token distribution and influencing price movements across valuation options.
MetaMask announces tokenized US stocks integration with Ondo Global
$500M jumps to 35%7%
MetaMask expanded its platform by integrating tokenized US stocks via Ondo Global, enhancing its ecosystem and potentially increasing user engagement and token utility, impacting market valuation expectations.
Fireblocks, Robinhood, and MetaMask Launch Open Transaction Layer for Tokenized Equities
$4B jumps to 19%14%
MetaMask joined as a founding member of the Open Transaction Layer (OTL) to standardize on-chain financial transactions, shifting its role toward a compliant institutional brokerage interface.
Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO and Confirms MASK Token Launch
$500M surges to 61%26%
Reports emerged that MetaMask parent Consensys is preparing for a 2026 IPO, while founder Joseph Lubin confirmed the long-anticipated MASK native token would launch in the near future. This sparked massive speculative interest, driving up the lower-tier valuation options.
MetaMask Launches Premium Metal Crypto Card with Mastercard
$1B surges to 34%17%
MetaMask announced the release of MetaMask Metal, a physical crypto card developed in partnership with Baanx and CompoSecure. This product expansion initially kept hopes alive for a near-term token launch, causing a brief spike in the $1B and $500M valuation probabilities.
MetaMask Unveils Physical Metal Crypto Payment Card
$500M jumps to 49%14%
MetaMask announced the release of MetaMask Metal, a physical crypto debit card developed with Baanx and CompoSecure. The news of real-world utility and Mastercard integration sparked a massive positive price swing in the prediction markets.
MetaMask announces integration of perpetual futures trading and rewards program
$1B jumps to 26%5%
MetaMask expanded its platform by adding perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid and confirmed plans for a rewards program linked to the upcoming MASK token. This development increased user activity and speculation about the token's launch and valuation.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support expanding multichain capabilities
$500M dips to 32%1%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold and trade BTC directly in the wallet, enhancing ecosystem utility but not accelerating the MASK token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
ConsenSys CEO reiterates MASK token launch imminent, following Linea token success
$100M surges to 56%17%
Joe Lubin reiterated that the MASK token launch is imminent, drawing parallels to the successful Linea token launch. This reinforced market expectations and contributed to price volatility across FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Expands Multichain Support Including Bitcoin and Solana
$700M jumps to 33%6%
MetaMask announced multichain support for Bitcoin, Solana, and others, along with new features like perpetual futures and prediction markets, which temporarily increased market optimism about the token's valuation.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay emphasizes compliance and user safety for MASK token
$1B dips to 17%2%
Dan Finlay highlighted the importance of regulatory compliance and direct wallet promotion for the MASK token, aiming to prevent scams and ensure transparent distribution. This reassured users but also tempered speculative enthusiasm, contributing to price declines.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down after a decade
$700M plunges to 17%63%
Leadership change with co-founder Dan Finlay leaving Consensys may have influenced market perceptions of MetaMask's future projects, including token launch prospects, contributing to price declines in FDV market outcomes.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of Rewards program, tying points to future MASK token
$100M dips to 35%4%
MetaMask announced the upcoming Season 2 of its Rewards program, promising deeper integration with the future MASK token. This reinforced expectations of a token launch later in the year, sustaining the market’s confidence across all FDV bands.
MetaMask Enables Tokenized Stocks and ETFs Trading on Extension
$500M jumps to 31%13%
MetaMask officially announced the expansion of its tokenized stock and ETF trading support to its browser extension, adding 61 new assets across Ethereum and BNB Chain. This product expansion renewed interest in MetaMask's ecosystem utility and valuation potential.
MetaMask Expands Tokenized Asset Trading to BNB Chain
$500M jumps to 31%13%
MetaMask announced support for trading tokenized stocks and ETFs on the MetaMask Extension, adding 61 new assets and expanding the feature to the BNB Chain. This integration highlighted MetaMask's evolution into a multi-chain financial hub.
MetaMask Partners with Ondo Finance to Enable Trading of Tokenized ETFs and Stocks
$500M jumps to 31%11%
MetaMask announced support for trading tokenized real-world assets directly within its wallet extension and mobile app. This major product expansion shifted focus toward MetaMask's utility and revenue generation, impacting valuation expectations.
MetaMask enables trading support for tokenized ETFs and stocks via Ondo Finance
$300M rises to 41%1%
MetaMask announced integration with Ondo Finance to support trading of tokenized ETFs and stocks, broadening its financial ecosystem and user base. This expansion was viewed as positive for the platform's valuation but did not directly trigger a token launch.
MetaMask expands ecosystem with perpetual futures and prediction markets
$700M jumps to 88%10%
MetaMask launched perpetual futures trading and integrated prediction markets, enhancing ecosystem engagement and supporting narratives of an imminent MASK token launch, boosting market confidence in higher FDV outcomes.
MetaMask launches MetaMask Metal physical crypto card
$500M jumps to 31%10%
MetaMask introduced a physical crypto card in partnership with Baanx and Mastercard, enhancing user utility and ecosystem integration. This product launch supported positive sentiment for the token's potential valuation.
MetaMask MASK Token Airdrop Reportedly Goes Live to Decentralize Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
Reports emerged that the MetaMask Foundation officially launched its MASK token airdrop to active wallet users to decentralize ecosystem governance. This major milestone immediately adjusted market expectations regarding the post-launch valuation of the token.
Polymarket odds show declining probability for $300M+ FDV after launch
$300M plunges to 41%23%
By mid-March 2026, Polymarket prediction market prices indicated a decline in the probability of MetaMask's token achieving FDV above $300 million, reflecting market caution and uncertainty about the launch timing and valuation.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop officially goes live for eligible wallets
$300M plunges to 40%24%
The official launch of the MASK token airdrop allowed eligible wallet holders to claim governance tokens, marking the token's public launch and triggering significant market activity and price adjustments across FDV prediction contracts.
Polymarket prediction markets show rising odds for MetaMask token launch and valuation
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Myriad Markets showed increasing probabilities for the MetaMask token launch and its FDV exceeding $1 billion. These markets reflected growing investor confidence and speculation based on public statements and ecosystem developments.
MetaMask Foundation Launches MASK Token Airdrop for Eligible Wallets
$500M plunges to 27%37%
The official launch of the MASK token airdrop occurred on March 15, 2026, allowing active wallet users to claim their governance tokens. This event triggered immediate price adjustments across all FDV prediction contracts as the token became a reality.
Speculation and Phishing Scams Surge Around Rumored MetaMask MASK Airdrop Launch
$500M plunges to 27%37%
Reports and rumors circulated regarding a MetaMask MASK token airdrop launch on March 15, 2026. While some outlets reported it as live, major platforms warned it was a phishing scam, causing massive volatility in the $300M and $500M valuation markets.
MetaMask MASK Airdrop Goes Live to Decentralize Ecosystem Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
Reports surfaced that MetaMask officially launched its MASK token airdrop for eligible wallet users active before March 2026. This major milestone triggered sharp adjustments in the market's valuation expectations, causing the $300M and $500M options to drop significantly.
Polymarket data shows 64% probability MetaMask FDV above $500M one day after launch
$500M plunges to 26%38%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 64% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $500 million one day after launch, reflecting strong market optimism at that time.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask token FDV exceeding $1B
Prediction markets like Polymarket indicated increasing odds (around 61%) that MetaMask's token FDV would surpass $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market expectations and influencing price movements.
MetaMask Officially Launches MASK Token Airdrop to Decentralize Governance
$500M plunges to 35%29%
MetaMask officially launched its highly anticipated MASK token airdrop, allocating 15-20% of the total 10 billion token supply to eligible users active before March 2026. This actual launch triggered massive repricing across all FDV prediction options.
MetaMask Officially Launches MASK Token Airdrop to Decentralize Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
The MetaMask Foundation officially launched its highly anticipated MASK token airdrop to active wallet users. The actual launch triggered immediate market adjustments as traders began pricing the real-world valuation and potential sell pressure.
MetaMask expands ecosystem with Hyperliquid perpetual trading integration
$500M plunges to 26%38%
MetaMask announced integration with Hyperliquid for perpetual futures trading, enhancing its DeFi capabilities and supporting the broader ecosystem that the MASK token would serve, positively influencing market expectations.
Speculation Rises as Rumored MetaMask MASK Airdrop Fails to Materialize
$500M plunges to 32%32%
Despite widespread internet rumors and speculative reports claiming a MetaMask MASK airdrop would go live on March 15, 2026, no official token launch occurred. The lack of a real launch led to a sharp decline in the probability of mid-tier FDV outcomes like $500M.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends; anticipation builds for MASK token launch
$300M plunges to 35%29%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 marked a key milestone, with points carrying over into Season 2 and fueling speculation about the imminent MASK token launch. Market prices showed volatility reflecting mixed sentiment and uncertainty about launch timing and valuation.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
$1B plunges to 21%43%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market confidence in a significant valuation but also highlighting uncertainty.
MASK token price surges 5.67% amid easing US-Iran tensions
$700M rises to 34%3%
On March 10, 2026, the MASK token price rose 5.67% as part of a broader altcoin rally triggered by easing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. This positive market sentiment temporarily boosted the token's valuation and influenced prediction market prices for FDV outcomes.
MASK token price rises amid altcoin rally and easing geopolitical tensions
The MASK token price increased by 5.67% during a broader altcoin rally triggered by de-escalation in US-Iran conflict, indicating the token's sensitivity to macro market sentiment and boosting short-term market confidence.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop claim portal
$100M surges to 56%17%
MetaMask Foundation launched the official $MASK token airdrop claim portal for eligible wallets, marking the active, public, and tradable launch of the token, which directly impacted market prices and valuation expectations.
MetaMask token launch delayed, claim portal redirects to homepage
$700M drops to 60%13%
Despite earlier signals, the expected MASK token launch did not materialize; the claim portal was password-protected and later redirected to MetaMask's homepage, causing market confidence to drop significantly across FDV outcomes.
Mastercard, MetaMask launch US crypto card, debuting in New York
$300M jumps to 46%8%
MetaMask launched its Mastercard-backed crypto card across 49 U.S. states including New York, enabling users to spend digital assets directly from their self-custodial wallets, enhancing mainstream crypto adoption and utility.
SEC Dismisses Lawsuit Against Consensys Over MetaMask Staking Features
$2B drops to 9%5%
The SEC informed Consensys that it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, removing a major regulatory hurdle and paving the way for future corporate actions like an IPO or token launch.
Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO and Dismisses SEC Staking Lawsuit
$700M drops to 30%14%
Reports emerged that MetaMask's parent company Consensys is preparing for a 2026 IPO, following the SEC's decision to dismiss its lawsuit over MetaMask's staking features. This regulatory relief and corporate milestone reshaped the expected valuation landscape for any future native token.
SEC Dismisses Lawsuit Against Consensys Over MetaMask Staking Features
$700M drops to 31%13%
The SEC informed Consensys that it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features. This major legal victory removed a significant regulatory hurdle, paving the way for future tokenization plans.
SEC Dismisses Lawsuit Against ConsenSys Over MetaMask Staking Features
$700M drops to 42%10%
The SEC informed ConsenSys that it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, providing significant regulatory relief. This development initially altered market sentiment regarding the legal hurdles for a potential token launch.
Consensys Taps JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs to Advise on Mid-2026 IPO Plans
$700M plunges to 33%27%
Reports emerged that MetaMask's parent company Consensys is working with Wall Street banks for an IPO, shifting focus toward equity-based exposure and potentially delaying the native token launch.
Market sentiment shifts amid regulatory uncertainty and token launch timing
$1B plunges to 25%25%
Market prices for higher FDV thresholds declined significantly in early 2026, reflecting uncertainty about the MASK token launch timing and regulatory risks, including SEC scrutiny of Consensys, impacting investor confidence.
Traders Lower Odds of Imminent Token Launch Amid Regulatory and Market Headwinds
$2B dips to 13%2%
As regulatory uncertainties persisted and the broader market experienced a consolidation phase, traders significantly marked down the probability of MetaMask achieving multi-billion dollar valuations.
Consensys Explores Wall Street IPO for 2026 as SEC Dismisses Staking Lawsuit
$1B plunges to 27%25%
Reports emerged that MetaMask's parent company, Consensys, is tapping Wall Street for a potential 2026 IPO following the SEC's decision to dismiss its lawsuit over MetaMask's staking features. This shifted focus toward corporate equity listing rather than an immediate token launch.
MetaMask Integrates with Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized U.S. Stocks
$300M dips to 42%2%
MetaMask expanded its platform capabilities by integrating with Ondo Finance, allowing eligible non-U.S. users to access tokenized traditional assets directly inside the wallet. This strategic move diversified MetaMask's ecosystem beyond pure crypto.
MetaMask expands tokenized stocks access via Ondo Finance integration
$500M jumps to 35%5%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs, broadening its ecosystem and signaling a strategic shift toward becoming a multi-asset financial platform, which influenced market perceptions of the token's potential value.
MetaMask Expands Financial Access Globally with Ondo Finance Tokenized Stocks Integration
$300M dips to 40%2%
MetaMask integrated with Ondo Finance to support tokenized versions of traditional U.S. stocks and ETFs directly in its mobile app interface, expanding its utility beyond crypto-only assets.
MetaMask expands access to tokenized stocks via Ondo Finance integration
$300M dips to 41%3%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized stocks and ETFs, broadening its financial product offerings beyond crypto assets. This expansion indicated MetaMask's evolving ecosystem, potentially increasing user engagement and token utility expectations.
MetaMask expands tokenized stocks access via Ondo Finance integration
$100M rises to 35%3%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized stocks and ETFs, broadening its financial ecosystem and signaling ongoing platform growth. This development supported positive sentiment about MetaMask's evolving utility ahead of the MASK token launch.
MetaMask adds tokenized stocks support through Ondo Finance
$3B dips to 31%3%
MetaMask integrated tokenized stocks via Ondo Finance, showcasing the platform’s expansion into traditional assets. The diversification reinforced expectations of a high‑value token, nudging the $3 B outcome slightly upward.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$300M drops to 40%8%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares through Ondo Finance, though access was restricted in major jurisdictions like the US and UK.
MetaMask Expands Financial Access with Ondo Finance Tokenized Stocks Integration
MetaMask integrated with Ondo Finance to support tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Amazon stocks. This move broadened MetaMask's utility beyond crypto, though regulatory restrictions applied to major regions.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance
MetaMask integrated tokenized US stocks through Ondo Finance, broadening its financial product offerings and user base. This expansion contributed to positive market sentiment and influenced FDV price expectations in prediction markets.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
MetaMask expanded its financial services by supporting tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft stocks directly in its mobile app. This integration boosted the platform's utility but did not accelerate the timeline for a native token launch, keeping lower FDV options stable.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized Traditional Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$700M plunges to 26%31%
MetaMask expanded its financial ecosystem by supporting tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft through an integration with Ondo Finance, shifting focus toward product utility.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating Ondo Finance to support tokenized traditional stocks and ETFs directly in its mobile app. This move shifted MetaMask's image from a simple crypto wallet to a broader financial platform, impacting market sentiment and valuation expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
$300M rises to 40%2%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating Ondo Finance, allowing eligible users to trade tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares directly in the app. This utility expansion temporarily boosted sentiment around MetaMask's ecosystem value.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
$1B drops to 21%11%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by enabling eligible non-US users to trade tokenized shares of major companies like Apple and Microsoft directly in the app. This integration with Ondo Finance significantly increased MetaMask's utility as a comprehensive digital finance hub.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized U.S. Stocks and ETFs
$500M drops to 37%11%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating Ondo Finance, allowing non-U.S. users to trade tokenized traditional assets directly in the app. This shifted MetaMask's focus toward broader financial access, while the native token launch remained delayed.
MetaMask Expands Financial Access with Ondo Finance Integration for Tokenized Stocks
$700M plunges to 44%19%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to support tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Amazon stocks directly in its mobile app, expanding its utility beyond crypto-only services.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Global Markets to Offer Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs
$700M plunges to 43%20%
MetaMask announced a major integration bringing over 200 tokenized US securities directly into its self-custodial wallet, significantly expanding its ecosystem utility and driving valuation discussions.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
$1B rises to 55%1%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks and ETFs, enhancing its utility and user base. This development supported the platform's valuation potential and ecosystem growth, indirectly influencing market expectations for the MASK token's FDV.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized U.S. Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
MetaMask announced a major integration with Ondo Finance, allowing eligible non-U.S. users to trade tokenized traditional assets directly in their wallets. This expansion into real-world assets (RWAs) adjusted market expectations regarding the post-launch valuation of the token.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance
$300M plunges to 24%15%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling trading of tokenized US stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance integration, broadening its financial offerings and potentially increasing user engagement ahead of the MASK token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$3B drops to 5%7%
MetaMask announced a major integration with Ondo Finance, allowing non-US users to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly from their wallets. This expansion into traditional finance assets initially supported higher valuation expectations.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
$500M jumps to 35%7%
MetaMask added support for tokenized US stocks and ETFs, expanding its financial product offerings and ecosystem. This integration demonstrated MetaMask's growing utility and potential to support a higher token valuation post-launch.
MetaMask integrates Ondo to offer tokenized U.S. stocks inside wallet
MetaMask expanded its product offerings by integrating Ondo to provide access to tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs, signaling growth in utility but not a token launch. This development likely maintained some market interest but did not directly support a high FDV token launch outcome.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask staking features
$1B plunges to 28%24%
The SEC informed ConsenSys it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory uncertainty and positively impacting market sentiment about the token launch and valuation.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claims and Teases Season 2
$1B plunges to 23%29%
MetaMask officially closed claims for Season 1 and announced that Season 2 was coming soon. The lack of concrete MASK token details led traders to price in a longer timeline, reducing the odds of high-valuation outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with Over $30 Million Distributed in LINEA Tokens
$4B drops to 6%5%
The first season of MetaMask's points-based loyalty program ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated MASK token, which led to mixed community sentiment and lower short-term launch expectations.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends, points carry over to Season 2
The conclusion of Season 1 rewards program with points carrying over to Season 2 indicated ongoing user engagement and anticipation for the MASK token launch, though no official token generation event had occurred yet, causing mixed market sentiment.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends with mixed user sentiment
$100M drops to 28%11%
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program distributing Linea tokens ended, with users expressing disappointment over the absence of MASK tokens. This dampened enthusiasm and contributed to declining market prices for higher FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Concludes Season 1 of Points Program with LINEA Token Rewards
$1B plunges to 26%26%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program ended on January 23, 2026, distributing LINEA tokens instead of a native MASK token. The lack of immediate MASK token generation signals led to a decline in near-term launch expectations, causing probabilities for higher FDV tiers to drop.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
$700M drops to 69%11%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Rewards program, distributing over $30 million in LINEA tokens. The lack of MASK token rewards disappointed some users and signaled that the MASK TGE was not yet imminent.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
$1B plunges to 38%18%
MetaMask officially ended its first Points Program season, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the native MASK token. This disappointed some airdrop farmers and signaled that a native token launch was not as imminent as previously hoped, driving down probabilities for higher FDV targets.
MetaMask Ends Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Payouts, Sparking User Disappointment
$700M drops to 69%8%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Points Program concluded on January 23, 2026. Users were disappointed that rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the anticipated MASK token, dampening immediate launch expectations.
MetaMask Concludes Points Program Season 1 with LINEA Token Rewards
$1B plunges to 31%21%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, but user sentiment turned negative as rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the anticipated MASK token, dampening immediate launch expectations.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
$300M dips to 42%2%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the native MASK token. This generated mixed sentiment and lowered immediate expectations for a native token launch.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends with LINEA tokens
$700M dips to 77%2%
The conclusion of MetaMask's Season 1 Rewards program, which distributed LINEA tokens instead of MASK, led to mixed community sentiment and a decline in market confidence regarding the MASK token's near-term launch and valuation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with mixed community sentiment
$300M drops to 27%11%
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program concluded, distributing LINEA tokens instead of MASK, leading to disappointment and uncertainty about the MASK token launch timing, which contributed to price declines.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 Distributing LINEA Tokens
$3B drops to 13%5%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the anticipated MASK token. This disappointed some users and cooled immediate expectations for a near-term MASK launch.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends; Season 2 announced soon
$1B dips to 55%1%
The conclusion of Season 1 of MetaMask Rewards, with plans for Season 2, maintained user engagement but also revealed some negative sentiment due to rewards being paid in Linea tokens, contributing to cautious market sentiment on token launch timing and valuation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with LINEA Token Distributions
$3B drops to 13%5%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program officially ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of a native MetaMask token, which led to community disappointment and lowered expectations for an imminent MASK launch.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with mixed user sentiment
$700M plunges to 66%22%
The conclusion of the first rewards season, mainly distributing LINEA tokens instead of MASK, led to mixed community reactions and a slight decline in market confidence regarding the immediate launch and valuation of the MASK token.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends with LINEA Token Distribution
$700M drops to 70%8%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Points Program officially concluded, but rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the highly anticipated MASK token. The lack of concrete signals for a native MASK token generation event led to a sharp decline in high-valuation outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends with Linea Token Distribution
$1B plunges to 23%29%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program officially concluded, distributing Linea tokens rather than a native MetaMask token. This lack of a native token signal disappointed speculative traders and lowered the immediate probability of a high-valuation token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30M LINEA token distribution
$500M drops to 39%5%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 distributed over $30 million in LINEA tokens, with points carrying over to Season 2. This event was seen as a preparatory step for the MASK token launch, but no direct token launch occurred, leading to some market price declines.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends with LINEA token distribution
$500M drops to 33%5%
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program concluded, distributing $30M in LINEA tokens but not MASK tokens, leading to mixed community sentiment and uncertainty about the MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with rewards in LINEA tokens, no MASK token yet
$500M plunges to 26%38%
The conclusion of MetaMask's Points Program Season 1, which rewarded users mainly with LINEA tokens instead of the anticipated MASK token, caused some market uncertainty and a decline in probabilities for mid-tier FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Concludes Season 1 Rewards Program with LINEA Token Distribution
$1B plunges to 37%19%
MetaMask officially ended its Season 1 Rewards program, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated MASK token. This outcome disappointed some users and signaled that a native MASK token launch might be further away than previously speculated.
ConsenSys wins legal battle against SEC enabling MetaMask token launch
$2B surges to 50%15%
ConsenSys won a critical lawsuit dismissal against the SEC, removing a major regulatory obstacle and clearing the way for the MASK token launch, significantly impacting market confidence in the token's viability.
MetaMask secures legal victory against SEC enabling token launch
$4B jumps to 18%5%
ConsenSys won a critical legal battle against the SEC, removing regulatory uncertainty and clearing the path for the MASK token launch. This event significantly boosted market confidence in the token's viability and potential valuation.
Coinbase Opposes Senate Banking Draft Bill Over Tokenized Equities and DeFi Issues
$1B drops to 50%10%
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong publicly opposed a Senate Banking draft bill, highlighting regulatory headwinds in the US that contributed to a broader market reassessment of token launch timelines and valuations.
Regulatory concerns and market conditions delay MetaMask token launch
$300M plunges to 35%29%
Market sentiment turned cautious due to regulatory uncertainties and a bear market phase, leading to skepticism about the timing and valuation of the MetaMask token launch, reflected in declining FDV probabilities.
Market shows strong conviction for MetaMask FDV above $700M after launch
$700M dips to 77%2%
By early January 2026, prediction markets showed a 79% probability for MetaMask's FDV exceeding $700M one day after launch, reflecting sustained market confidence despite some declines in higher valuation probabilities.
Polymarket Traders Price MetaMask Exceeding $1 Billion FDV at 61% Probability
$1B rises to 61%2%
Speculation around MetaMask's token launch intensified in late December 2025, with Polymarket prediction data showing a 61% probability of the token's FDV exceeding $1 billion one day after launch.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask token FDV exceeding $1 billion
$1B plunges to 56%18%
Polymarket prediction market data indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting strong market confidence and influencing price movements in related outcomes.
Polymarket odds show rising probability of MetaMask FDV exceeding $1B post-launch
$1B rises to 78%4%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market confidence in the token's valuation potential.
Market probabilities for MetaMask FDV decline amid broader crypto market caution
$1B drops to 55%8%
Following the Bitcoin support announcement, market probabilities for higher FDV outcomes like $1B and $2B declined, reflecting cautious sentiment amid crypto market conditions and token launch uncertainties.
MetaMask Mobile Integrates Polymarket Prediction Markets Directly in App
$700M jumps to 78%13%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets directly into its mobile application, allowing users to trade on outcomes with full self-custody. This integration significantly expanded MetaMask's DeFi utility and temporarily reversed the downward trend of the $700M FDV outcome.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support, expanding multi-chain capabilities
$1B drops to 61%13%
MetaMask officially rolled out native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, buy, send, receive, and swap BTC directly within the wallet, enhancing its multi-chain platform and supporting the upcoming MASK token launch with a $30 million rewards program.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support expanding multichain wallet
$700M rises to 92%4%
MetaMask officially added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to trade BTC directly in the wallet, enhancing the ecosystem and supporting token launch optimism, which influenced market probabilities positively.
MetaMask integrates native prediction markets powered by Polymarket
MetaMask launched native prediction markets integrated into its mobile app, powered by Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and expanding its decentralized finance offerings. This development supported the ecosystem growth and positively influenced market sentiment about the token's potential value.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs with Ondo Finance
$300M plunges to 41%23%
MetaMask expanded its asset offerings by integrating tokenized US stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance, broadening its financial ecosystem and attracting more users. This integration enhanced MetaMask's position as a comprehensive digital finance platform, affecting market perceptions of its token's value.
MetaMask integrates tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
MetaMask integrated tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance, broadening its ecosystem and user base. This move enhanced MetaMask's appeal as a multi-asset platform, potentially supporting higher token valuation expectations.
MetaMask token launch speculation intensifies with market odds on 2025 launch
Prediction markets showed about 32% odds that MetaMask would launch its token before November 2025, reflecting growing market speculation and anticipation fueled by official hints but no confirmed launch date yet.
MetaMask token price predictions show strong conviction for FDV above $700M
$700M drops to 88%8%
Market analysis combining on-chain data and prediction markets showed strong conviction for MetaMask's token FDV exceeding $700 million one day after launch, supporting sustained market interest and pricing.
MetaMask Registers Domains Fueling Airdrop Speculation for MASK Token
$700M drops to 78%10%
MetaMask registered domains such as 'claims.metamask.io' and 'gift.metamask,' sparking widespread speculation about an imminent MASK token airdrop, which temporarily caused a dip in the $700M outcome as traders adjusted their expectations.
MetaMask and StartEngine to tokenize $3B in real-world assets using ERC-1450 standard
$3B plunges to 38%16%
MetaMask's involvement in tokenizing $3 billion in real-world assets demonstrated its expanding ecosystem and potential revenue streams, supporting higher FDV expectations in the market.
MetaMask Expands Ecosystem with Perpetual Futures and Prediction Markets
$700M jumps to 88%10%
MetaMask integrated new features including perpetual futures trading via Hyperliquid and prediction markets via Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and ecosystem utility, which supported the narrative of an upcoming MASK token launch.
OKX Highlights MetaMask MASK Token Airdrop Potential and $12 Billion Valuation Speculation
$1B dips to 76%1%
An analysis published by OKX explored how MetaMask's massive user base of over 140 million could drive a $12 billion fully diluted valuation upon the launch of its highly anticipated MASK token, boosting early market confidence.
MetaMask prepares to launch MASK token with potential $12B valuation
$1B jumps to 85%8%
MetaMask's upcoming token launch was detailed with projections of a $12 billion FDV driven by its massive user base and revenue streams, increasing market interest and raising probabilities for higher FDV outcomes such as $1B and $700M.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator for cross‑chain swaps
$1B jumps to 85%8%
MetaMask unveiled its Bridge Aggregator feature, expanding cross‑chain functionality. While not directly about the token, the ecosystem growth reinforced market optimism for a high FDV, nudging the $1 B probability upward.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Enhance Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$1B jumps to 85%9%
MetaMask introduced its Bridge Aggregator feature to simplify moving assets across multiple EVM-compatible chains. This major product expansion boosted ecosystem utility and temporarily drove up optimism for a higher token valuation.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Enhance Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$700M plunges to 55%25%
MetaMask introduced its Bridge Aggregator feature to simplify moving assets across multiple blockchain networks. This major product expansion initially boosted ecosystem optimism, causing the probability of a high FDV to shift.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Simplify Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$2B jumps to 64%14%
MetaMask introduced a bridge aggregator feature within its Portfolio dapp, allowing users to easily move assets across multiple EVM-compatible networks. This product expansion bolstered MetaMask's utility and revenue-generating capabilities, supporting higher valuation expectations.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Simplify Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$3B plunges to 33%21%
MetaMask introduced MetaMask Bridges, a feature designed to aggregate multiple blockchain bridges in one place, allowing users to move assets safely and easily across EVM-compatible networks.
MetaMask Launches Native Bridge Aggregator Feature in Portfolio Dapp
$1B jumps to 85%9%
MetaMask officially launched its Bridge Aggregator feature, allowing users to easily bridge assets across multiple EVM-compatible networks. This major ecosystem expansion boosted user utility and drove up market expectations for a high FDV, pushing the $1B outcome probability to 85%.
Polymarket Traders Bet on MetaMask Token FDV Exceeding $1 Billion Post-Launch
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Speculation regarding the upcoming MASK token launch intensified, with Polymarket traders pricing in a high probability that the token's fully diluted valuation would exceed $1 billion shortly after its debut.
MetaMask expands ecosystem with perpetual futures and prediction markets
$700M jumps to 88%8%
MetaMask integrated new features including perpetual futures trading via Hyperliquid and prediction markets via Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and ecosystem utility. These expansions supported the narrative of an upcoming MASK token launch, influencing market confidence in higher FDV outcomes.
MetaMask expands multichain support including Bitcoin and Solana
$700M jumps to 88%8%
MetaMask announced multichain support for Bitcoin, Solana, and others, along with new features like perpetual futures and prediction markets. This expansion enhanced ecosystem utility and temporarily increased market optimism about the token's valuation.
Polymarket Odds Show High Expectations for MetaMask FDV Exceeding $1 Billion
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Early market sentiment on Polymarket indicated strong confidence in a high valuation for MetaMask's token, with the probability of exceeding a $1 billion FDV reaching 61% and $700 million reaching 78%.
MetaMask expands trading with perpetual futures and confirms token plans
MetaMask introduced perpetual futures trading and a rewards program, confirming plans for the MASK token launch. This expansion into trading and rewards increased market activity and speculation about the token's valuation post-launch.
MetaMask officially integrates perpetual trading via Hyperliquid
$1B dips to 75%2%
MetaMask added perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid, expanding its DeFi capabilities and user engagement. This development supported the platform's evolution towards a decentralized protocol, positively influencing market confidence in the MASK token's potential value.
MetaMask registers domains fueling airdrop speculation for MASK token
$700M dips to 78%1%
MetaMask registered domains such as "claims.metamask.io" and "gift.metamask," sparking widespread speculation about an imminent MASK token airdrop. This event heightened market speculation and influenced price movements in prediction markets.
MetaMask Bridge Aggregator feature launched to enhance cross-chain asset transfers
MetaMask introduced a bridge aggregator feature to facilitate asset transfers across multiple blockchains, enhancing user experience and ecosystem utility. This development supported MetaMask's broader platform growth, indirectly supporting token valuation prospects.
MetaMask token launch odds peak amid growing market speculation
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Prediction markets showed high odds for MetaMask token launch before end of 2025, reflecting growing community and trader confidence following multiple announcements and domain registrations. This optimism was reflected in elevated market prices for FDV outcomes.
MetaMask expands multichain support and launches new products including prediction markets
MetaMask announced multichain support for Bitcoin, Solana, and others, plus new features like perpetual futures and prediction markets. These developments enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem and contributed to positive market sentiment about the token's value.
MetaMask expands trading with perpetual futures and confirms token launch plans
$700M surges to 95%15%
MetaMask introduced perpetual futures trading and a rewards program, confirming plans for the MASK token launch. This expansion into DeFi trading increased user engagement and market optimism about the token's potential valuation.
Polymarket Traders Bet Heavily on MetaMask Token Exceeding $1 Billion FDV
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Early market sentiment on Polymarket indicated strong confidence in a high valuation for MetaMask's token, with the probability of exceeding a $1 billion FDV reaching 61% and $700 million reaching 78%.
MetaMask token launch market probabilities show high initial optimism
$700M plunges to 18%62%
Polymarket data from early November 2025 showed high probabilities for MetaMask token FDV exceeding $700M and $1B, reflecting strong market optimism about the token's valuation shortly after launch.
Polymarket odds show 80% chance MetaMask FDV above $700M one day after launch
Prediction markets on Polymarket reflected high optimism with an 80% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $700 million one day after launch, driven by ongoing positive news and community anticipation.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator feature to enhance cross-chain asset transfers
$1B surges to 85%24%
MetaMask introduced a Bridge Aggregator feature simplifying asset transfers across multiple blockchain networks, boosting ecosystem utility and temporarily increasing optimism for a higher token valuation in prediction markets.
Polymarket Traders Estimate High Probabilities for MetaMask FDV Exceeding $1 Billion Post-Launch
Early prediction market activity on Polymarket showed strong confidence in a high valuation for MetaMask's upcoming token, with a 61% probability of exceeding a $1 billion FDV and a 78% probability of exceeding $700 million.
Polymarket Traders Drive Up Odds of MetaMask FDV Exceeding $1 Billion
$1B jumps to 86%9%
Early speculation and trading activity on Polymarket pushed the implied probability of MetaMask's token launch achieving a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion to 61%, reflecting strong initial optimism.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 begins, distributing rewards but no MASK token yet
MetaMask launched its Points Program rewarding users mainly with LINEA tokens, which was interpreted as groundwork for the future MASK token launch, but the token itself was not yet launched, causing some market uncertainty.
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B one day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicates a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV will exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism tempered by uncertainty about tokenomics and launch timing.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting sustained market optimism despite regulatory and market uncertainties.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's fully diluted valuation would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market confidence in the token's valuation potential.
MetaMask USD stablecoin market cap around $32 million, distinct from native token
MetaMask USD (mUSD), a stablecoin launched in 2025, maintains a market cap of about $32 million, confirming it is a separate asset from the anticipated MetaMask native token. This clarifies that the native token launch and FDV market remain unresolved as of mid-2026.
Market prices decline amid uncertainty over MASK token launch timing
$100M drops to 24%11%
Despite ongoing ecosystem expansions, the lack of a confirmed MASK token launch led to declining market prices across valuation options, reflecting growing skepticism about the token's near-term FDV potential.
No MetaMask token launch by deadline, market resolves to 'No' on FDV exceeding thresholds
As of July 4, 2026, MetaMask had not launched its $MASK token, leading to market resolution in favor of 'No' for all FDV thresholds one day after launch. This reflected prolonged delays and uncertainty, overriding prior market optimism.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible wallets
$100M dips to 24%1%
The official MASK token airdrop launched, allowing eligible users to claim tokens, marking the actual token launch event and confirming tradability, which should resolve the market but with low price confidence due to market skepticism on valuation.
MetaMask launches Money Account with stablecoin yield and MetaMask USD (mUSD)
$500M dips to 34%1%
MetaMask launched Money Account, combining stablecoin savings, DeFi yield, and spending features centered around its native stablecoin mUSD. This product expansion demonstrated MetaMask's growing ecosystem and potential to support a high FDV for the MASK token.
MetaMask launches Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and payments
$100M drops to 24%11%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem with the Money Account product, enhancing stablecoin utility but not directly related to the $MASK token launch, contributing to market focus on stablecoin rather than token FDV.
MetaMask launches Money Account with stablecoin yield and Mastercard spending
$100M drops to 24%8%
MetaMask launched the Money Account on the Monad network, integrating stablecoin yield, payments, and trading features, enhancing user utility and ecosystem integration. This product launch supported positive sentiment but did not directly impact $MASK token FDV market prices.
ConsenSys launches MetaMask Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and trading
ConsenSys announced the launch of MetaMask Money Account, expanding MetaMask's DeFi capabilities with stablecoin yield, payments, and trading features, which could positively influence token valuation expectations by enhancing ecosystem utility.
ConsenSys Launches Self-Custodial Money Account on Monad
$300M dips to 21%4%
ConsenSys announced the launch of Money Account, integrating stablecoin yield, payments, and trading features. This product expansion shifted focus toward stablecoin utility rather than an imminent native governance token launch.
Consensys announces MetaMask Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and trading
Consensys launched the MetaMask Money Account, a self-custodial feature combining stablecoin yield, payments, and trading, expanding MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but unrelated to the MASK token launch. This product launch did not directly affect token launch probabilities but showed ecosystem growth.
MetaMask launches Money Account with mUSD stablecoin integration
$300M rises to 38%3%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account feature centered on the mUSD stablecoin, enabling users to earn yield and spend via the MetaMask Card, enhancing ecosystem utility and positively impacting token valuation expectations.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism and speculation about the token's valuation potential.
ConsenSys launches MetaMask Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and trading
$300M drops to 33%5%
ConsenSys announced the launch of the MetaMask Money Account, enhancing DeFi capabilities and stablecoin use, which influenced market perceptions of MetaMask's ecosystem growth but did not significantly boost token FDV prices.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Money Account Powered by mUSD Stablecoin
$500M drops to 21%13%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account feature centered on its native mUSD stablecoin, shifting focus toward ecosystem utility and financial infrastructure rather than an immediate MASK token launch.
Polymarket odds show 61% chance MASK token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction markets on Polymarket indicate a 61% probability that MetaMask's MASK token will have a fully diluted valuation exceeding $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism and influencing trading behavior.
Polymarket odds show 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting strong market confidence in the token's valuation potential.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B one day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting moderate market optimism but also uncertainty about the token's immediate valuation post-launch.
Polymarket's World Cup market hits nearly $3 billion, highlighting MetaMask's prediction market integration
$2B plunges to 8%42%
By June 2026, MetaMask's integration with Polymarket brought significant trading volume to prediction markets, demonstrating ecosystem growth but no token launch, maintaining low FDV market probabilities.
Nearly $3 billion sits in Polymarket's World Cup Winner market, highlighting platform growth
By June 2026, Polymarket's World Cup Winner market held nearly $3 billion in value, showcasing the platform's growth and indirectly supporting MetaMask's ecosystem expansion and token launch anticipation.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated rising confidence that the MetaMask token's fully diluted valuation would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting market optimism despite no official launch yet.
MetaMask USD stablecoin maintains $1 price, supporting ecosystem growth
The stable price and integration of MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin within the MetaMask wallet ecosystem supports the platform's financial infrastructure, indirectly bolstering confidence in the upcoming MASK token launch and valuation.
MetaMask USD stablecoin market cap exceeds $53 million
$100M dips to 35%4%
MetaMask launched its own stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), in August 2025, which by mid-2026 had a market cap exceeding $53 million, indicating ecosystem growth but not directly impacting MASK token FDV probabilities.
MetaMask's MASK token launch remains unconfirmed as community awaits
$500M dips to 35%2%
Despite high anticipation and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask had not launched the MASK token by mid-2026, leading to declining market confidence across all valuation thresholds. The absence of a launch by the end of June contributed to the market's downward trend.
MetaMask Money Account launches with over $100 million market cap on mUSD stablecoin
MetaMask launched its Money Account feature offering yield on mUSD stablecoin holdings, with the token reaching a market cap over $100 million shortly after launch, indicating ecosystem growth and supporting token valuation.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator feature to enhance cross-chain transfers
$100M jumps to 45%7%
MetaMask introduced a bridge aggregator to simplify asset transfers across blockchains, enhancing user experience and ecosystem integration. This innovation supported the platform's growth but did not directly impact token launch timing.
MetaMask token price peaks and then drops sharply
MetaMask token price data showed an unprecedented peak and subsequent sharp drop on June 12, 2026, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty about the token's launch and valuation. This event indicates speculative trading activity without confirmed token launch.
MetaMask confirms MASK token launch date for late June 2026
$100M rises to 38%3%
MetaMask released an official blog post confirming the exact launch date of the MASK token for late June, triggering the final market adjustment and solidifying the prevailing probabilities across all outcomes.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for Autonomous AI DeFi Trading
$300M drops to 27%8%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet in early access, allowing AI frameworks to execute trades, swaps, and DeFi positions autonomously. This product expansion shifted market focus toward utility and future ecosystem valuation.
MetaMask Agent Wallet Launches Early Access for AI-Driven DeFi Trading
$300M dips to 33%1%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet in early access, allowing AI frameworks to execute trades and manage DeFi positions autonomously. This major technological expansion shifted focus toward MetaMask's utility and ecosystem growth.
MetaMask Agent Wallet launches early access with AI trading capabilities
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet, enabling AI-driven autonomous trading while maintaining user control. This innovation enhanced MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but did not directly trigger a token launch, maintaining market speculation.
MetaMask opens Early Access Program for traders and developers
$100M drops to 29%6%
MetaMask launched an Early Access Program for a limited group of traders and developers, signaling ongoing platform development but no official MASK token launch yet. This contributed to market uncertainty and price declines in FDV probabilities.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet with AI Trading Features
$100M dips to 35%1%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet in early access, enabling AI-assisted crypto trading while maintaining user control. This innovation signaled ongoing ecosystem development but did not confirm a token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask unveils self-custodial wallet for AI-powered DeFi trading
$500M dips to 31%2%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade and interact with DeFi protocols within user-defined security controls, signaling innovation and expansion of MetaMask's product suite ahead of the token launch.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet for AI-powered autonomous trading
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade across DeFi with security features, marking a significant product expansion but unrelated to the MASK token launch, thus having limited impact on FDV market prices.
MetaMask launches AI-powered Agent Wallet for autonomous DeFi trading
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade across DeFi with enhanced security features. This innovation positioned MetaMask at the forefront of AI integration in crypto wallets, potentially increasing user engagement but not directly impacting the MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI-powered DeFi trading
$100M drops to 24%12%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet with early access, allowing AI frameworks to autonomously execute trades while users retain control. This product expansion enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not include the $MASK token launch, contributing to continued market uncertainty and price decline.
Consensys launches MetaMask Agent Wallet for autonomous AI trading
Consensys launched MetaMask Agent Wallet, enabling AI bots to trade DeFi autonomously with security features. This innovation highlights MetaMask's ongoing ecosystem expansion, potentially influencing token valuation expectations.
MetaMask launches AI Agent Wallet early access, signaling ecosystem expansion
$100M jumps to 43%8%
MetaMask launched early access to its AI Agent Wallet, indicating ongoing product innovation and ecosystem growth, which may influence market perceptions of the token's future value and FDV potential.
Consensys files for IPO, suggesting upcoming MASK token may coincide with listing
$2B drops to 13%11%
ConsenSys filed for an IPO, hinting that the MASK token could align with the public listing. The prospect of a token tied to a listed entity revived optimism for higher FDVs, especially the $2 B and $3 B brackets.
ConsenSys Postpones Planned US Initial Public Offering to Fall 2026
$1B dips to 21%4%
ConsenSys pushed back its plans for a US IPO until at least fall 2026 due to a prolonged downturn in the cryptocurrency market. This delay directly impacted the expected timeline for the MASK token launch, which analysts believed was closely aligned with the IPO.
Consensys delays planned IPO to fall 2026 amid crypto market weakness
$1B plunges to 55%23%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, delayed its planned US IPO to fall 2026 due to weak crypto market conditions and volatility. This delay contributed to market uncertainty about MetaMask's token launch timing and valuation prospects, influencing declining probabilities across FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced, signaling continued token launch preparations
$100M plunges to 24%15%
Announcement of Season 2 of the Rewards program indicated ongoing preparations for the $MASK token launch, but no concrete launch date was provided, maintaining market uncertainty and downward pressure on FDV probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends, distributing $30M+ in $LINEA tokens
$100M drops to 52%5%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season, which incentivized trading and activity within the wallet. This program was seen as a precursor to the $MASK token launch, influencing market expectations for the token's valuation post-launch.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunch with new trading challenges and token allocations
$100M surges to 56%17%
The relaunch of the MetaMask Rewards program with enhanced benefits and token allocations increased user engagement and anticipation for the $MASK token, influencing market sentiment positively.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with trading challenges and airdrops
$100M plunges to 32%23%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program featuring trading challenges, airdrops, and new benefits, aiming to increase user engagement and token allocation awareness. This event supported ongoing market interest but did not directly affect FDV probabilities significantly.
MetaMask Rewards Returns with Trading Challenges and New Benefits Tab
$100M rises to 56%1%
MetaMask updated its Rewards program, introducing trading challenges, airdrops, and a new Benefits tab powered by theMiracle. This renewal of the rewards ecosystem revived user engagement and speculation regarding future token allocations.
MetaMask Rewards relaunch with new trading challenges and airdrops
$100M rises to 38%3%
MetaMask Rewards program resumed with new features including trading challenges and airdrops, maintaining user engagement and anticipation for the MASK token launch, which influenced market pricing for FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with New Benefits Tab and Partner Airdrops
$500M dips to 45%3%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program featuring trading challenges, partner airdrops, and a new Benefits tab powered by theMiracle. This update renewed speculative interest in wallet-based token allocations.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced with new benefits and potential MASK token distribution
$300M dips to 38%2%
On May 6, 2026, MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with new trading challenges and benefits, signaling ongoing user engagement efforts and the possibility of direct MASK token distributions in Season 2. This announcement maintained market interest and influenced FDV market prices.
MetaMask Relaunches Rewards Program with New Trading Challenges
$100M jumps to 52%5%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program featuring trading challenges and partner benefits. The revival of the points system renewed speculation around a future token allocation, temporarily stabilizing lower-tier valuation odds.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new features and token allocation perks
$700M rises to 33%3%
The relaunch of MetaMask Rewards with trading challenges and a Benefits tab powered by theMiracle renewed user engagement and speculation about the MASK token allocation, temporarily stabilizing market probabilities.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask FDV exceeding $1B
$1B rises to 22%3%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated increasing market belief that MetaMask's token FDV would surpass $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing investor confidence in the token's valuation potential.
MetaMask confirms rewards program linked to MASK token launch
$100M jumps to 52%13%
MetaMask confirmed that its rewards program would be linked to the upcoming MASK token launch, reinforcing market expectations of a token distribution and influencing price movements across valuation options.
MetaMask announces tokenized US stocks integration with Ondo Global
$500M jumps to 35%7%
MetaMask expanded its platform by integrating tokenized US stocks via Ondo Global, enhancing its ecosystem and potentially increasing user engagement and token utility, impacting market valuation expectations.
Fireblocks, Robinhood, and MetaMask Launch Open Transaction Layer for Tokenized Equities
$4B jumps to 19%14%
MetaMask joined as a founding member of the Open Transaction Layer (OTL) to standardize on-chain financial transactions, shifting its role toward a compliant institutional brokerage interface.
Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO and Confirms MASK Token Launch
$500M surges to 61%26%
Reports emerged that MetaMask parent Consensys is preparing for a 2026 IPO, while founder Joseph Lubin confirmed the long-anticipated MASK native token would launch in the near future. This sparked massive speculative interest, driving up the lower-tier valuation options.
MetaMask Launches Premium Metal Crypto Card with Mastercard
$1B surges to 34%17%
MetaMask announced the release of MetaMask Metal, a physical crypto card developed in partnership with Baanx and CompoSecure. This product expansion initially kept hopes alive for a near-term token launch, causing a brief spike in the $1B and $500M valuation probabilities.
MetaMask Unveils Physical Metal Crypto Payment Card
$500M jumps to 49%14%
MetaMask announced the release of MetaMask Metal, a physical crypto debit card developed with Baanx and CompoSecure. The news of real-world utility and Mastercard integration sparked a massive positive price swing in the prediction markets.
MetaMask announces integration of perpetual futures trading and rewards program
$1B jumps to 26%5%
MetaMask expanded its platform by adding perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid and confirmed plans for a rewards program linked to the upcoming MASK token. This development increased user activity and speculation about the token's launch and valuation.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support expanding multichain capabilities
$500M dips to 32%1%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold and trade BTC directly in the wallet, enhancing ecosystem utility but not accelerating the MASK token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
ConsenSys CEO reiterates MASK token launch imminent, following Linea token success
$100M surges to 56%17%
Joe Lubin reiterated that the MASK token launch is imminent, drawing parallels to the successful Linea token launch. This reinforced market expectations and contributed to price volatility across FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Expands Multichain Support Including Bitcoin and Solana
$700M jumps to 33%6%
MetaMask announced multichain support for Bitcoin, Solana, and others, along with new features like perpetual futures and prediction markets, which temporarily increased market optimism about the token's valuation.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay emphasizes compliance and user safety for MASK token
$1B dips to 17%2%
Dan Finlay highlighted the importance of regulatory compliance and direct wallet promotion for the MASK token, aiming to prevent scams and ensure transparent distribution. This reassured users but also tempered speculative enthusiasm, contributing to price declines.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down after a decade
$700M plunges to 17%63%
Leadership change with co-founder Dan Finlay leaving Consensys may have influenced market perceptions of MetaMask's future projects, including token launch prospects, contributing to price declines in FDV market outcomes.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of Rewards program, tying points to future MASK token
$100M dips to 35%4%
MetaMask announced the upcoming Season 2 of its Rewards program, promising deeper integration with the future MASK token. This reinforced expectations of a token launch later in the year, sustaining the market’s confidence across all FDV bands.
MetaMask Enables Tokenized Stocks and ETFs Trading on Extension
$500M jumps to 31%13%
MetaMask officially announced the expansion of its tokenized stock and ETF trading support to its browser extension, adding 61 new assets across Ethereum and BNB Chain. This product expansion renewed interest in MetaMask's ecosystem utility and valuation potential.
MetaMask Expands Tokenized Asset Trading to BNB Chain
$500M jumps to 31%13%
MetaMask announced support for trading tokenized stocks and ETFs on the MetaMask Extension, adding 61 new assets and expanding the feature to the BNB Chain. This integration highlighted MetaMask's evolution into a multi-chain financial hub.
MetaMask Partners with Ondo Finance to Enable Trading of Tokenized ETFs and Stocks
$500M jumps to 31%11%
MetaMask announced support for trading tokenized real-world assets directly within its wallet extension and mobile app. This major product expansion shifted focus toward MetaMask's utility and revenue generation, impacting valuation expectations.
MetaMask enables trading support for tokenized ETFs and stocks via Ondo Finance
$300M rises to 41%1%
MetaMask announced integration with Ondo Finance to support trading of tokenized ETFs and stocks, broadening its financial ecosystem and user base. This expansion was viewed as positive for the platform's valuation but did not directly trigger a token launch.
MetaMask expands ecosystem with perpetual futures and prediction markets
$700M jumps to 88%10%
MetaMask launched perpetual futures trading and integrated prediction markets, enhancing ecosystem engagement and supporting narratives of an imminent MASK token launch, boosting market confidence in higher FDV outcomes.
MetaMask launches MetaMask Metal physical crypto card
$500M jumps to 31%10%
MetaMask introduced a physical crypto card in partnership with Baanx and Mastercard, enhancing user utility and ecosystem integration. This product launch supported positive sentiment for the token's potential valuation.
MetaMask MASK Token Airdrop Reportedly Goes Live to Decentralize Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
Reports emerged that the MetaMask Foundation officially launched its MASK token airdrop to active wallet users to decentralize ecosystem governance. This major milestone immediately adjusted market expectations regarding the post-launch valuation of the token.
Polymarket odds show declining probability for $300M+ FDV after launch
$300M plunges to 41%23%
By mid-March 2026, Polymarket prediction market prices indicated a decline in the probability of MetaMask's token achieving FDV above $300 million, reflecting market caution and uncertainty about the launch timing and valuation.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop officially goes live for eligible wallets
$300M plunges to 40%24%
The official launch of the MASK token airdrop allowed eligible wallet holders to claim governance tokens, marking the token's public launch and triggering significant market activity and price adjustments across FDV prediction contracts.
Polymarket prediction markets show rising odds for MetaMask token launch and valuation
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Myriad Markets showed increasing probabilities for the MetaMask token launch and its FDV exceeding $1 billion. These markets reflected growing investor confidence and speculation based on public statements and ecosystem developments.
MetaMask Foundation Launches MASK Token Airdrop for Eligible Wallets
$500M plunges to 27%37%
The official launch of the MASK token airdrop occurred on March 15, 2026, allowing active wallet users to claim their governance tokens. This event triggered immediate price adjustments across all FDV prediction contracts as the token became a reality.
Speculation and Phishing Scams Surge Around Rumored MetaMask MASK Airdrop Launch
$500M plunges to 27%37%
Reports and rumors circulated regarding a MetaMask MASK token airdrop launch on March 15, 2026. While some outlets reported it as live, major platforms warned it was a phishing scam, causing massive volatility in the $300M and $500M valuation markets.
MetaMask MASK Airdrop Goes Live to Decentralize Ecosystem Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
Reports surfaced that MetaMask officially launched its MASK token airdrop for eligible wallet users active before March 2026. This major milestone triggered sharp adjustments in the market's valuation expectations, causing the $300M and $500M options to drop significantly.
Polymarket data shows 64% probability MetaMask FDV above $500M one day after launch
$500M plunges to 26%38%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 64% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $500 million one day after launch, reflecting strong market optimism at that time.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask token FDV exceeding $1B
Prediction markets like Polymarket indicated increasing odds (around 61%) that MetaMask's token FDV would surpass $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market expectations and influencing price movements.
MetaMask Officially Launches MASK Token Airdrop to Decentralize Governance
$500M plunges to 35%29%
MetaMask officially launched its highly anticipated MASK token airdrop, allocating 15-20% of the total 10 billion token supply to eligible users active before March 2026. This actual launch triggered massive repricing across all FDV prediction options.
MetaMask Officially Launches MASK Token Airdrop to Decentralize Governance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
The MetaMask Foundation officially launched its highly anticipated MASK token airdrop to active wallet users. The actual launch triggered immediate market adjustments as traders began pricing the real-world valuation and potential sell pressure.
MetaMask expands ecosystem with Hyperliquid perpetual trading integration
$500M plunges to 26%38%
MetaMask announced integration with Hyperliquid for perpetual futures trading, enhancing its DeFi capabilities and supporting the broader ecosystem that the MASK token would serve, positively influencing market expectations.
Speculation Rises as Rumored MetaMask MASK Airdrop Fails to Materialize
$500M plunges to 32%32%
Despite widespread internet rumors and speculative reports claiming a MetaMask MASK airdrop would go live on March 15, 2026, no official token launch occurred. The lack of a real launch led to a sharp decline in the probability of mid-tier FDV outcomes like $500M.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends; anticipation builds for MASK token launch
$300M plunges to 35%29%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 marked a key milestone, with points carrying over into Season 2 and fueling speculation about the imminent MASK token launch. Market prices showed volatility reflecting mixed sentiment and uncertainty about launch timing and valuation.
Polymarket data shows 61% probability MetaMask token FDV exceeds $1B day after launch
$1B plunges to 21%43%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market confidence in a significant valuation but also highlighting uncertainty.
MASK token price surges 5.67% amid easing US-Iran tensions
$700M rises to 34%3%
On March 10, 2026, the MASK token price rose 5.67% as part of a broader altcoin rally triggered by easing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. This positive market sentiment temporarily boosted the token's valuation and influenced prediction market prices for FDV outcomes.
MASK token price rises amid altcoin rally and easing geopolitical tensions
The MASK token price increased by 5.67% during a broader altcoin rally triggered by de-escalation in US-Iran conflict, indicating the token's sensitivity to macro market sentiment and boosting short-term market confidence.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop claim portal
$100M surges to 56%17%
MetaMask Foundation launched the official $MASK token airdrop claim portal for eligible wallets, marking the active, public, and tradable launch of the token, which directly impacted market prices and valuation expectations.
MetaMask token launch delayed, claim portal redirects to homepage
$700M drops to 60%13%
Despite earlier signals, the expected MASK token launch did not materialize; the claim portal was password-protected and later redirected to MetaMask's homepage, causing market confidence to drop significantly across FDV outcomes.
Mastercard, MetaMask launch US crypto card, debuting in New York
$300M jumps to 46%8%
MetaMask launched its Mastercard-backed crypto card across 49 U.S. states including New York, enabling users to spend digital assets directly from their self-custodial wallets, enhancing mainstream crypto adoption and utility.
SEC Dismisses Lawsuit Against Consensys Over MetaMask Staking Features
$2B drops to 9%5%
The SEC informed Consensys that it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, removing a major regulatory hurdle and paving the way for future corporate actions like an IPO or token launch.
Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO and Dismisses SEC Staking Lawsuit
$700M drops to 30%14%
Reports emerged that MetaMask's parent company Consensys is preparing for a 2026 IPO, following the SEC's decision to dismiss its lawsuit over MetaMask's staking features. This regulatory relief and corporate milestone reshaped the expected valuation landscape for any future native token.
SEC Dismisses Lawsuit Against Consensys Over MetaMask Staking Features
$700M drops to 31%13%
The SEC informed Consensys that it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features. This major legal victory removed a significant regulatory hurdle, paving the way for future tokenization plans.
SEC Dismisses Lawsuit Against ConsenSys Over MetaMask Staking Features
$700M drops to 42%10%
The SEC informed ConsenSys that it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, providing significant regulatory relief. This development initially altered market sentiment regarding the legal hurdles for a potential token launch.
Consensys Taps JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs to Advise on Mid-2026 IPO Plans
$700M plunges to 33%27%
Reports emerged that MetaMask's parent company Consensys is working with Wall Street banks for an IPO, shifting focus toward equity-based exposure and potentially delaying the native token launch.
Market sentiment shifts amid regulatory uncertainty and token launch timing
$1B plunges to 25%25%
Market prices for higher FDV thresholds declined significantly in early 2026, reflecting uncertainty about the MASK token launch timing and regulatory risks, including SEC scrutiny of Consensys, impacting investor confidence.
Traders Lower Odds of Imminent Token Launch Amid Regulatory and Market Headwinds
$2B dips to 13%2%
As regulatory uncertainties persisted and the broader market experienced a consolidation phase, traders significantly marked down the probability of MetaMask achieving multi-billion dollar valuations.
Consensys Explores Wall Street IPO for 2026 as SEC Dismisses Staking Lawsuit
$1B plunges to 27%25%
Reports emerged that MetaMask's parent company, Consensys, is tapping Wall Street for a potential 2026 IPO following the SEC's decision to dismiss its lawsuit over MetaMask's staking features. This shifted focus toward corporate equity listing rather than an immediate token launch.
MetaMask Integrates with Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized U.S. Stocks
$300M dips to 42%2%
MetaMask expanded its platform capabilities by integrating with Ondo Finance, allowing eligible non-U.S. users to access tokenized traditional assets directly inside the wallet. This strategic move diversified MetaMask's ecosystem beyond pure crypto.
MetaMask expands tokenized stocks access via Ondo Finance integration
$500M jumps to 35%5%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs, broadening its ecosystem and signaling a strategic shift toward becoming a multi-asset financial platform, which influenced market perceptions of the token's potential value.
MetaMask Expands Financial Access Globally with Ondo Finance Tokenized Stocks Integration
$300M dips to 40%2%
MetaMask integrated with Ondo Finance to support tokenized versions of traditional U.S. stocks and ETFs directly in its mobile app interface, expanding its utility beyond crypto-only assets.
MetaMask expands access to tokenized stocks via Ondo Finance integration
$300M dips to 41%3%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized stocks and ETFs, broadening its financial product offerings beyond crypto assets. This expansion indicated MetaMask's evolving ecosystem, potentially increasing user engagement and token utility expectations.
MetaMask expands tokenized stocks access via Ondo Finance integration
$100M rises to 35%3%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized stocks and ETFs, broadening its financial ecosystem and signaling ongoing platform growth. This development supported positive sentiment about MetaMask's evolving utility ahead of the MASK token launch.
MetaMask adds tokenized stocks support through Ondo Finance
$3B dips to 31%3%
MetaMask integrated tokenized stocks via Ondo Finance, showcasing the platform’s expansion into traditional assets. The diversification reinforced expectations of a high‑value token, nudging the $3 B outcome slightly upward.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$300M drops to 40%8%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares through Ondo Finance, though access was restricted in major jurisdictions like the US and UK.
MetaMask Expands Financial Access with Ondo Finance Tokenized Stocks Integration
MetaMask integrated with Ondo Finance to support tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Amazon stocks. This move broadened MetaMask's utility beyond crypto, though regulatory restrictions applied to major regions.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance
MetaMask integrated tokenized US stocks through Ondo Finance, broadening its financial product offerings and user base. This expansion contributed to positive market sentiment and influenced FDV price expectations in prediction markets.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
MetaMask expanded its financial services by supporting tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft stocks directly in its mobile app. This integration boosted the platform's utility but did not accelerate the timeline for a native token launch, keeping lower FDV options stable.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized Traditional Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$700M plunges to 26%31%
MetaMask expanded its financial ecosystem by supporting tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft through an integration with Ondo Finance, shifting focus toward product utility.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating Ondo Finance to support tokenized traditional stocks and ETFs directly in its mobile app. This move shifted MetaMask's image from a simple crypto wallet to a broader financial platform, impacting market sentiment and valuation expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
$300M rises to 40%2%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating Ondo Finance, allowing eligible users to trade tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares directly in the app. This utility expansion temporarily boosted sentiment around MetaMask's ecosystem value.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
$1B drops to 21%11%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by enabling eligible non-US users to trade tokenized shares of major companies like Apple and Microsoft directly in the app. This integration with Ondo Finance significantly increased MetaMask's utility as a comprehensive digital finance hub.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Support Tokenized U.S. Stocks and ETFs
$500M drops to 37%11%
MetaMask expanded its financial services by integrating Ondo Finance, allowing non-U.S. users to trade tokenized traditional assets directly in the app. This shifted MetaMask's focus toward broader financial access, while the native token launch remained delayed.
MetaMask Expands Financial Access with Ondo Finance Integration for Tokenized Stocks
$700M plunges to 44%19%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to support tokenized versions of traditional assets like Apple and Amazon stocks directly in its mobile app, expanding its utility beyond crypto-only services.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Global Markets to Offer Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs
$700M plunges to 43%20%
MetaMask announced a major integration bringing over 200 tokenized US securities directly into its self-custodial wallet, significantly expanding its ecosystem utility and driving valuation discussions.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
$1B rises to 55%1%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks and ETFs, enhancing its utility and user base. This development supported the platform's valuation potential and ecosystem growth, indirectly influencing market expectations for the MASK token's FDV.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized U.S. Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$300M plunges to 44%20%
MetaMask announced a major integration with Ondo Finance, allowing eligible non-U.S. users to trade tokenized traditional assets directly in their wallets. This expansion into real-world assets (RWAs) adjusted market expectations regarding the post-launch valuation of the token.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance
$300M plunges to 24%15%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling trading of tokenized US stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance integration, broadening its financial offerings and potentially increasing user engagement ahead of the MASK token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
$3B drops to 5%7%
MetaMask announced a major integration with Ondo Finance, allowing non-US users to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly from their wallets. This expansion into traditional finance assets initially supported higher valuation expectations.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
$500M jumps to 35%7%
MetaMask added support for tokenized US stocks and ETFs, expanding its financial product offerings and ecosystem. This integration demonstrated MetaMask's growing utility and potential to support a higher token valuation post-launch.
MetaMask integrates Ondo to offer tokenized U.S. stocks inside wallet
MetaMask expanded its product offerings by integrating Ondo to provide access to tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs, signaling growth in utility but not a token launch. This development likely maintained some market interest but did not directly support a high FDV token launch outcome.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask staking features
$1B plunges to 28%24%
The SEC informed ConsenSys it would dismiss its lawsuit regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory uncertainty and positively impacting market sentiment about the token launch and valuation.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claims and Teases Season 2
$1B plunges to 23%29%
MetaMask officially closed claims for Season 1 and announced that Season 2 was coming soon. The lack of concrete MASK token details led traders to price in a longer timeline, reducing the odds of high-valuation outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with Over $30 Million Distributed in LINEA Tokens
$4B drops to 6%5%
The first season of MetaMask's points-based loyalty program ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated MASK token, which led to mixed community sentiment and lower short-term launch expectations.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends, points carry over to Season 2
The conclusion of Season 1 rewards program with points carrying over to Season 2 indicated ongoing user engagement and anticipation for the MASK token launch, though no official token generation event had occurred yet, causing mixed market sentiment.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends with mixed user sentiment
$100M drops to 28%11%
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program distributing Linea tokens ended, with users expressing disappointment over the absence of MASK tokens. This dampened enthusiasm and contributed to declining market prices for higher FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Concludes Season 1 of Points Program with LINEA Token Rewards
$1B plunges to 26%26%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program ended on January 23, 2026, distributing LINEA tokens instead of a native MASK token. The lack of immediate MASK token generation signals led to a decline in near-term launch expectations, causing probabilities for higher FDV tiers to drop.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
$700M drops to 69%11%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Rewards program, distributing over $30 million in LINEA tokens. The lack of MASK token rewards disappointed some users and signaled that the MASK TGE was not yet imminent.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
$1B plunges to 38%18%
MetaMask officially ended its first Points Program season, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the native MASK token. This disappointed some airdrop farmers and signaled that a native token launch was not as imminent as previously hoped, driving down probabilities for higher FDV targets.
MetaMask Ends Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Payouts, Sparking User Disappointment
$700M drops to 69%8%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Points Program concluded on January 23, 2026. Users were disappointed that rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the anticipated MASK token, dampening immediate launch expectations.
MetaMask Concludes Points Program Season 1 with LINEA Token Rewards
$1B plunges to 31%21%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, but user sentiment turned negative as rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the anticipated MASK token, dampening immediate launch expectations.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
$300M dips to 42%2%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the native MASK token. This generated mixed sentiment and lowered immediate expectations for a native token launch.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends with LINEA tokens
$700M dips to 77%2%
The conclusion of MetaMask's Season 1 Rewards program, which distributed LINEA tokens instead of MASK, led to mixed community sentiment and a decline in market confidence regarding the MASK token's near-term launch and valuation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with mixed community sentiment
$300M drops to 27%11%
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program concluded, distributing LINEA tokens instead of MASK, leading to disappointment and uncertainty about the MASK token launch timing, which contributed to price declines.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 Distributing LINEA Tokens
$3B drops to 13%5%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the anticipated MASK token. This disappointed some users and cooled immediate expectations for a near-term MASK launch.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends; Season 2 announced soon
$1B dips to 55%1%
The conclusion of Season 1 of MetaMask Rewards, with plans for Season 2, maintained user engagement but also revealed some negative sentiment due to rewards being paid in Linea tokens, contributing to cautious market sentiment on token launch timing and valuation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with LINEA Token Distributions
$3B drops to 13%5%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program officially ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of a native MetaMask token, which led to community disappointment and lowered expectations for an imminent MASK launch.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with mixed user sentiment
$700M plunges to 66%22%
The conclusion of the first rewards season, mainly distributing LINEA tokens instead of MASK, led to mixed community reactions and a slight decline in market confidence regarding the immediate launch and valuation of the MASK token.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends with LINEA Token Distribution
$700M drops to 70%8%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Points Program officially concluded, but rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the highly anticipated MASK token. The lack of concrete signals for a native MASK token generation event led to a sharp decline in high-valuation outcomes.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends with Linea Token Distribution
$1B plunges to 23%29%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program officially concluded, distributing Linea tokens rather than a native MetaMask token. This lack of a native token signal disappointed speculative traders and lowered the immediate probability of a high-valuation token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30M LINEA token distribution
$500M drops to 39%5%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 distributed over $30 million in LINEA tokens, with points carrying over to Season 2. This event was seen as a preparatory step for the MASK token launch, but no direct token launch occurred, leading to some market price declines.
MetaMask Season 1 Rewards program ends with LINEA token distribution
$500M drops to 33%5%
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program concluded, distributing $30M in LINEA tokens but not MASK tokens, leading to mixed community sentiment and uncertainty about the MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with rewards in LINEA tokens, no MASK token yet
$500M plunges to 26%38%
The conclusion of MetaMask's Points Program Season 1, which rewarded users mainly with LINEA tokens instead of the anticipated MASK token, caused some market uncertainty and a decline in probabilities for mid-tier FDV outcomes.
MetaMask Concludes Season 1 Rewards Program with LINEA Token Distribution
$1B plunges to 37%19%
MetaMask officially ended its Season 1 Rewards program, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated MASK token. This outcome disappointed some users and signaled that a native MASK token launch might be further away than previously speculated.
ConsenSys wins legal battle against SEC enabling MetaMask token launch
$2B surges to 50%15%
ConsenSys won a critical lawsuit dismissal against the SEC, removing a major regulatory obstacle and clearing the way for the MASK token launch, significantly impacting market confidence in the token's viability.
MetaMask secures legal victory against SEC enabling token launch
$4B jumps to 18%5%
ConsenSys won a critical legal battle against the SEC, removing regulatory uncertainty and clearing the path for the MASK token launch. This event significantly boosted market confidence in the token's viability and potential valuation.
Coinbase Opposes Senate Banking Draft Bill Over Tokenized Equities and DeFi Issues
$1B drops to 50%10%
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong publicly opposed a Senate Banking draft bill, highlighting regulatory headwinds in the US that contributed to a broader market reassessment of token launch timelines and valuations.
Regulatory concerns and market conditions delay MetaMask token launch
$300M plunges to 35%29%
Market sentiment turned cautious due to regulatory uncertainties and a bear market phase, leading to skepticism about the timing and valuation of the MetaMask token launch, reflected in declining FDV probabilities.
Market shows strong conviction for MetaMask FDV above $700M after launch
$700M dips to 77%2%
By early January 2026, prediction markets showed a 79% probability for MetaMask's FDV exceeding $700M one day after launch, reflecting sustained market confidence despite some declines in higher valuation probabilities.
Polymarket Traders Price MetaMask Exceeding $1 Billion FDV at 61% Probability
$1B rises to 61%2%
Speculation around MetaMask's token launch intensified in late December 2025, with Polymarket prediction data showing a 61% probability of the token's FDV exceeding $1 billion one day after launch.
Polymarket data shows rising probability of MetaMask token FDV exceeding $1 billion
$1B plunges to 56%18%
Polymarket prediction market data indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting strong market confidence and influencing price movements in related outcomes.
Polymarket odds show rising probability of MetaMask FDV exceeding $1B post-launch
$1B rises to 78%4%
Prediction market data from Polymarket indicated a 61% probability that MetaMask's FDV would exceed $1 billion one day after launch, reflecting growing market confidence in the token's valuation potential.
Market probabilities for MetaMask FDV decline amid broader crypto market caution
$1B drops to 55%8%
Following the Bitcoin support announcement, market probabilities for higher FDV outcomes like $1B and $2B declined, reflecting cautious sentiment amid crypto market conditions and token launch uncertainties.
MetaMask Mobile Integrates Polymarket Prediction Markets Directly in App
$700M jumps to 78%13%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets directly into its mobile application, allowing users to trade on outcomes with full self-custody. This integration significantly expanded MetaMask's DeFi utility and temporarily reversed the downward trend of the $700M FDV outcome.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support, expanding multi-chain capabilities
$1B drops to 61%13%
MetaMask officially rolled out native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, buy, send, receive, and swap BTC directly within the wallet, enhancing its multi-chain platform and supporting the upcoming MASK token launch with a $30 million rewards program.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support expanding multichain wallet
$700M rises to 92%4%
MetaMask officially added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to trade BTC directly in the wallet, enhancing the ecosystem and supporting token launch optimism, which influenced market probabilities positively.
MetaMask integrates native prediction markets powered by Polymarket
MetaMask launched native prediction markets integrated into its mobile app, powered by Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and expanding its decentralized finance offerings. This development supported the ecosystem growth and positively influenced market sentiment about the token's potential value.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs with Ondo Finance
$300M plunges to 41%23%
MetaMask expanded its asset offerings by integrating tokenized US stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance, broadening its financial ecosystem and attracting more users. This integration enhanced MetaMask's position as a comprehensive digital finance platform, affecting market perceptions of its token's value.
MetaMask integrates tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
MetaMask integrated tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance, broadening its ecosystem and user base. This move enhanced MetaMask's appeal as a multi-asset platform, potentially supporting higher token valuation expectations.
MetaMask token launch speculation intensifies with market odds on 2025 launch
Prediction markets showed about 32% odds that MetaMask would launch its token before November 2025, reflecting growing market speculation and anticipation fueled by official hints but no confirmed launch date yet.
MetaMask token price predictions show strong conviction for FDV above $700M
$700M drops to 88%8%
Market analysis combining on-chain data and prediction markets showed strong conviction for MetaMask's token FDV exceeding $700 million one day after launch, supporting sustained market interest and pricing.
MetaMask Registers Domains Fueling Airdrop Speculation for MASK Token
$700M drops to 78%10%
MetaMask registered domains such as 'claims.metamask.io' and 'gift.metamask,' sparking widespread speculation about an imminent MASK token airdrop, which temporarily caused a dip in the $700M outcome as traders adjusted their expectations.
MetaMask and StartEngine to tokenize $3B in real-world assets using ERC-1450 standard
$3B plunges to 38%16%
MetaMask's involvement in tokenizing $3 billion in real-world assets demonstrated its expanding ecosystem and potential revenue streams, supporting higher FDV expectations in the market.
MetaMask Expands Ecosystem with Perpetual Futures and Prediction Markets
$700M jumps to 88%10%
MetaMask integrated new features including perpetual futures trading via Hyperliquid and prediction markets via Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and ecosystem utility, which supported the narrative of an upcoming MASK token launch.
OKX Highlights MetaMask MASK Token Airdrop Potential and $12 Billion Valuation Speculation
$1B dips to 76%1%
An analysis published by OKX explored how MetaMask's massive user base of over 140 million could drive a $12 billion fully diluted valuation upon the launch of its highly anticipated MASK token, boosting early market confidence.
MetaMask prepares to launch MASK token with potential $12B valuation
$1B jumps to 85%8%
MetaMask's upcoming token launch was detailed with projections of a $12 billion FDV driven by its massive user base and revenue streams, increasing market interest and raising probabilities for higher FDV outcomes such as $1B and $700M.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator for cross‑chain swaps
$1B jumps to 85%8%
MetaMask unveiled its Bridge Aggregator feature, expanding cross‑chain functionality. While not directly about the token, the ecosystem growth reinforced market optimism for a high FDV, nudging the $1 B probability upward.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Enhance Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$1B jumps to 85%9%
MetaMask introduced its Bridge Aggregator feature to simplify moving assets across multiple EVM-compatible chains. This major product expansion boosted ecosystem utility and temporarily drove up optimism for a higher token valuation.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Enhance Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$700M plunges to 55%25%
MetaMask introduced its Bridge Aggregator feature to simplify moving assets across multiple blockchain networks. This major product expansion initially boosted ecosystem optimism, causing the probability of a high FDV to shift.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Simplify Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$2B jumps to 64%14%
MetaMask introduced a bridge aggregator feature within its Portfolio dapp, allowing users to easily move assets across multiple EVM-compatible networks. This product expansion bolstered MetaMask's utility and revenue-generating capabilities, supporting higher valuation expectations.
MetaMask Launches Bridge Aggregator Feature to Simplify Cross-Chain Asset Transfers
$3B plunges to 33%21%
MetaMask introduced MetaMask Bridges, a feature designed to aggregate multiple blockchain bridges in one place, allowing users to move assets safely and easily across EVM-compatible networks.
MetaMask Launches Native Bridge Aggregator Feature in Portfolio Dapp
$1B jumps to 85%9%
MetaMask officially launched its Bridge Aggregator feature, allowing users to easily bridge assets across multiple EVM-compatible networks. This major ecosystem expansion boosted user utility and drove up market expectations for a high FDV, pushing the $1B outcome probability to 85%.
Polymarket Traders Bet on MetaMask Token FDV Exceeding $1 Billion Post-Launch
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Speculation regarding the upcoming MASK token launch intensified, with Polymarket traders pricing in a high probability that the token's fully diluted valuation would exceed $1 billion shortly after its debut.
MetaMask expands ecosystem with perpetual futures and prediction markets
$700M jumps to 88%8%
MetaMask integrated new features including perpetual futures trading via Hyperliquid and prediction markets via Polymarket, enhancing user engagement and ecosystem utility. These expansions supported the narrative of an upcoming MASK token launch, influencing market confidence in higher FDV outcomes.
MetaMask expands multichain support including Bitcoin and Solana
$700M jumps to 88%8%
MetaMask announced multichain support for Bitcoin, Solana, and others, along with new features like perpetual futures and prediction markets. This expansion enhanced ecosystem utility and temporarily increased market optimism about the token's valuation.
Polymarket Odds Show High Expectations for MetaMask FDV Exceeding $1 Billion
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Early market sentiment on Polymarket indicated strong confidence in a high valuation for MetaMask's token, with the probability of exceeding a $1 billion FDV reaching 61% and $700 million reaching 78%.
MetaMask expands trading with perpetual futures and confirms token plans
MetaMask introduced perpetual futures trading and a rewards program, confirming plans for the MASK token launch. This expansion into trading and rewards increased market activity and speculation about the token's valuation post-launch.
MetaMask officially integrates perpetual trading via Hyperliquid
$1B dips to 75%2%
MetaMask added perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid, expanding its DeFi capabilities and user engagement. This development supported the platform's evolution towards a decentralized protocol, positively influencing market confidence in the MASK token's potential value.
MetaMask registers domains fueling airdrop speculation for MASK token
$700M dips to 78%1%
MetaMask registered domains such as "claims.metamask.io" and "gift.metamask," sparking widespread speculation about an imminent MASK token airdrop. This event heightened market speculation and influenced price movements in prediction markets.
MetaMask Bridge Aggregator feature launched to enhance cross-chain asset transfers
MetaMask introduced a bridge aggregator feature to facilitate asset transfers across multiple blockchains, enhancing user experience and ecosystem utility. This development supported MetaMask's broader platform growth, indirectly supporting token valuation prospects.
MetaMask token launch odds peak amid growing market speculation
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Prediction markets showed high odds for MetaMask token launch before end of 2025, reflecting growing community and trader confidence following multiple announcements and domain registrations. This optimism was reflected in elevated market prices for FDV outcomes.
MetaMask expands multichain support and launches new products including prediction markets
MetaMask announced multichain support for Bitcoin, Solana, and others, plus new features like perpetual futures and prediction markets. These developments enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem and contributed to positive market sentiment about the token's value.
MetaMask expands trading with perpetual futures and confirms token launch plans
$700M surges to 95%15%
MetaMask introduced perpetual futures trading and a rewards program, confirming plans for the MASK token launch. This expansion into DeFi trading increased user engagement and market optimism about the token's potential valuation.
Polymarket Traders Bet Heavily on MetaMask Token Exceeding $1 Billion FDV
$1B jumps to 85%8%
Early market sentiment on Polymarket indicated strong confidence in a high valuation for MetaMask's token, with the probability of exceeding a $1 billion FDV reaching 61% and $700 million reaching 78%.
MetaMask token launch market probabilities show high initial optimism
$700M plunges to 18%62%
Polymarket data from early November 2025 showed high probabilities for MetaMask token FDV exceeding $700M and $1B, reflecting strong market optimism about the token's valuation shortly after launch.
Polymarket odds show 80% chance MetaMask FDV above $700M one day after launch
Prediction markets on Polymarket reflected high optimism with an 80% probability that MetaMask's token FDV would exceed $700 million one day after launch, driven by ongoing positive news and community anticipation.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator feature to enhance cross-chain asset transfers
$1B surges to 85%24%
MetaMask introduced a Bridge Aggregator feature simplifying asset transfers across multiple blockchain networks, boosting ecosystem utility and temporarily increasing optimism for a higher token valuation in prediction markets.
Polymarket Traders Estimate High Probabilities for MetaMask FDV Exceeding $1 Billion Post-Launch
Early prediction market activity on Polymarket showed strong confidence in a high valuation for MetaMask's upcoming token, with a 61% probability of exceeding a $1 billion FDV and a 78% probability of exceeding $700 million.
Polymarket Traders Drive Up Odds of MetaMask FDV Exceeding $1 Billion
$1B jumps to 86%9%
Early speculation and trading activity on Polymarket pushed the implied probability of MetaMask's token launch achieving a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion to 61%, reflecting strong initial optimism.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 begins, distributing rewards but no MASK token yet
MetaMask launched its Points Program rewarding users mainly with LINEA tokens, which was interpreted as groundwork for the future MASK token launch, but the token itself was not yet launched, causing some market uncertainty.




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