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icon for 密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for 密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

喬斯林·本森 98.1%

加林·吉爾克里斯特 <1%

克里斯·斯旺森 <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$23,248 交易量

喬斯林·本森 98.1%

加林·吉爾克里斯特 <1%

克里斯·斯旺森 <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$23,248 交易量

icon for 喬斯林·本森

喬斯林·本森

$15,823 交易量

98%

icon for 加林·吉爾克里斯特

加林·吉爾克里斯特

$2,343 交易量

1%

icon for 克里斯·斯旺森

克里斯·斯旺森

$2,873 交易量

<1%

icon for Marni Sawicki

Marni Sawicki

$2,245 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson's commanding 94.5% market share in the August 4, 2026 Michigan Democratic primary reflects her strong position as the state's term-limited Secretary of State, established name recognition from prior election administration, and substantial fundraising edge over challengers. Recent developments, including Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield's June 15 endorsement and May polling showing Benson above 60% against Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson, have reinforced trader consensus on her frontrunner status ahead of the open-seat primary. Swanson remains the most visible alternative but trails significantly in surveys and resources. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharply shifting turnout patterns could still alter outcomes before primary day, though current evidence points to limited pathways for other declared candidates like Garlin Gilchrist.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$23,248
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson's commanding 94.5% market share in the August 4, 2026 Michigan Democratic primary reflects her strong position as the state's term-limited Secretary of State, established name recognition from prior election administration, and substantial fundraising edge over challengers. Recent developments, including Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield's June 15 endorsement and May polling showing Benson above 60% against Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson, have reinforced trader consensus on her frontrunner status ahead of the open-seat primary. Swanson remains the most visible alternative but trails significantly in surveys and resources. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharply shifting turnout patterns could still alter outcomes before primary day, though current evidence points to limited pathways for other declared candidates like Garlin Gilchrist.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$23,248
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬斯林·本森" at 98%, followed by "加林·吉爾克里斯特" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $23.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "喬斯林·本森" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加林·吉爾克里斯特" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.