Microsoft shares have traded near multi-year lows around $350–$373 amid a historic June rout exceeding 21%, driven by investor concerns over elevated AI infrastructure spending and a broader rotation out of large-cap technology names. The stock’s implied volatility remains elevated as traders weigh margin pressure from capital expenditures against steady cloud revenue growth, with the next quarterly results not due until July 29. Market-implied odds for closing the June 29–July 3 week above key thresholds will hinge on any short-term sentiment shifts in the S&P 500 and Treasury yields rather than company-specific catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$9,480 交易量
2026-07-03
$290
Yes
300美元
是
$310
Yes
$320
是
$330
是
340美元
是
$350
Yes
360美元
是
$370
Yes
$380
Yes
$390
Yes
400美元
否
$410
No
$9,480 交易量
$290
$176 交易量
Yes
300美元
$163 交易量
是
$310
$135 交易量
Yes
$320
$35 交易量
是
$330
$239 交易量
是
340美元
$37 交易量
是
$350
$61 交易量
Yes
360美元
$55 交易量
是
$370
$93 交易量
Yes
$380
$1,742 交易量
Yes
$390
$6,546 交易量
Yes
400美元
$91 交易量
否
$410
$106 交易量
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares have traded near multi-year lows around $350–$373 amid a historic June rout exceeding 21%, driven by investor concerns over elevated AI infrastructure spending and a broader rotation out of large-cap technology names. The stock’s implied volatility remains elevated as traders weigh margin pressure from capital expenditures against steady cloud revenue growth, with the next quarterly results not due until July 29. Market-implied odds for closing the June 29–July 3 week above key thresholds will hinge on any short-term sentiment shifts in the S&P 500 and Treasury yields rather than company-specific catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$9,480結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares have traded near multi-year lows around $350–$373 amid a historic June rout exceeding 21%, driven by investor concerns over elevated AI infrastructure spending and a broader rotation out of large-cap technology names. The stock’s implied volatility remains elevated as traders weigh margin pressure from capital expenditures against steady cloud revenue growth, with the next quarterly results not due until July 29. Market-implied odds for closing the June 29–July 3 week above key thresholds will hinge on any short-term sentiment shifts in the S&P 500 and Treasury yields rather than company-specific catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
交易量
$9,480結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Microsoft shares have traded near multi-year lows around $350–$373 amid a historic June rout exceeding 21%, driven by investor concerns over elevated AI infrastructure spending and a broader rotation out of large-cap technology names. The stock’s implied volatility remains elevated as traders weigh margin pressure from capital expenditures against steady cloud revenue growth, with the next quarterly results not due until July 29. Market-implied odds for closing the June 29–July 3 week above key thresholds will hinge on any short-term sentiment shifts in the S&P 500 and Treasury yields rather than company-specific catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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