Microsoft shares have traded near $390–400 in mid-June 2026 after closing at 390.74 on June 12, reflecting a roughly 17% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550 amid elevated AI capital expenditures and margin pressure. The April 29 fiscal Q3 earnings beat, with EPS of $4.27 versus $4.07 estimates and Azure revenue growth exceeding 39%, provided support through expanding AI services and a $37 billion annualized run rate. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against ongoing concerns over high spending, Xbox restructuring, and broader macro factors such as interest-rate expectations and equity-market volatility, which continue to influence near-term price action and implied closing levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$3,213 交易量
2026-06-15
370美元
是
380美元
是
$390
Yes
400美元
否
$410
否
$3,213 交易量
370美元
$197 交易量
是
380美元
$432 交易量
是
$390
$376 交易量
Yes
400美元
$1,151 交易量
否
$410
$1,057 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 15 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares have traded near $390–400 in mid-June 2026 after closing at 390.74 on June 12, reflecting a roughly 17% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550 amid elevated AI capital expenditures and margin pressure. The April 29 fiscal Q3 earnings beat, with EPS of $4.27 versus $4.07 estimates and Azure revenue growth exceeding 39%, provided support through expanding AI services and a $37 billion annualized run rate. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against ongoing concerns over high spending, Xbox restructuring, and broader macro factors such as interest-rate expectations and equity-market volatility, which continue to influence near-term price action and implied closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 15 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
交易量
$3,213結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 15 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares have traded near $390–400 in mid-June 2026 after closing at 390.74 on June 12, reflecting a roughly 17% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550 amid elevated AI capital expenditures and margin pressure. The April 29 fiscal Q3 earnings beat, with EPS of $4.27 versus $4.07 estimates and Azure revenue growth exceeding 39%, provided support through expanding AI services and a $37 billion annualized run rate. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against ongoing concerns over high spending, Xbox restructuring, and broader macro factors such as interest-rate expectations and equity-market volatility, which continue to influence near-term price action and implied closing levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 15 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$3,213結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Microsoft shares have traded near $390–400 in mid-June 2026 after closing at 390.74 on June 12, reflecting a roughly 17% year-to-date decline from 2025 highs above $550 amid elevated AI capital expenditures and margin pressure. The April 29 fiscal Q3 earnings beat, with EPS of $4.27 versus $4.07 estimates and Azure revenue growth exceeding 39%, provided support through expanding AI services and a $37 billion annualized run rate. Traders are weighing these fundamentals against ongoing concerns over high spending, Xbox restructuring, and broader macro factors such as interest-rate expectations and equity-market volatility, which continue to influence near-term price action and implied closing levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions