Microsoft’s recent fiscal Q4 results, featuring 18% revenue growth to $90 billion and 43% Azure expansion fueled by AI workloads and Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million seats, underpin trader focus on sustained cloud momentum amid the company’s revised capex outlook. With shares closing near $500 after a 2% pullback on September 4 and trading within a 52-week range of roughly $349–$554, the closely matched 43.5% implied probabilities on the $460–$470 and $530–$540 bins highlight elevated short-term volatility and uncertainty around momentum continuation versus profit-taking or broader equity pressures. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-through from earnings commentary and macroeconomic data releases that week, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on these factors rather than directional certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於低於$450 45%
$460-$470 44%
$470-$480 44%
$450-$460 42%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
低於$450
45%
$450-$460
42%
$460-$470
44%
$470-$480
44%
$480-$490
15%
$490-$500
28%
$500-$510
28%
$510－$520
15%
$520-$530
6%
$530-$540
29%
高於540美元
40%
低於$450 45%
$460-$470 44%
$470-$480 44%
$450-$460 42%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
低於$450
$0 交易量
45%
$450-$460
$0 交易量
42%
$460-$470
$0 交易量
44%
$470-$480
$0 交易量
44%
$480-$490
$0 交易量
15%
$490-$500
$0 交易量
28%
$500-$510
$0 交易量
28%
$510－$520
$0 交易量
15%
$520-$530
$0 交易量
6%
$530-$540
$0 交易量
29%
高於540美元
$0 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft’s recent fiscal Q4 results, featuring 18% revenue growth to $90 billion and 43% Azure expansion fueled by AI workloads and Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million seats, underpin trader focus on sustained cloud momentum amid the company’s revised capex outlook. With shares closing near $500 after a 2% pullback on September 4 and trading within a 52-week range of roughly $349–$554, the closely matched 43.5% implied probabilities on the $460–$470 and $530–$540 bins highlight elevated short-term volatility and uncertainty around momentum continuation versus profit-taking or broader equity pressures. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-through from earnings commentary and macroeconomic data releases that week, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on these factors rather than directional certainty.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft’s recent fiscal Q4 results, featuring 18% revenue growth to $90 billion and 43% Azure expansion fueled by AI workloads and Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million seats, underpin trader focus on sustained cloud momentum amid the company’s revised capex outlook. With shares closing near $500 after a 2% pullback on September 4 and trading within a 52-week range of roughly $349–$554, the closely matched 43.5% implied probabilities on the $460–$470 and $530–$540 bins highlight elevated short-term volatility and uncertainty around momentum continuation versus profit-taking or broader equity pressures. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-through from earnings commentary and macroeconomic data releases that week, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on these factors rather than directional certainty.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETMicrosoft’s recent fiscal Q4 results, featuring 18% revenue growth to $90 billion and 43% Azure expansion fueled by AI workloads and Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million seats, underpin trader focus on sustained cloud momentum amid the company’s revised capex outlook. With shares closing near $500 after a 2% pullback on September 4 and trading within a 52-week range of roughly $349–$554, the closely matched 43.5% implied probabilities on the $460–$470 and $530–$540 bins highlight elevated short-term volatility and uncertainty around momentum continuation versus profit-taking or broader equity pressures. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-through from earnings commentary and macroeconomic data releases that week, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on these factors rather than directional certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions