Ongoing diplomatic activity at the UN General Assembly, including President Trump’s address and bilateral meetings with leaders from Ukraine, Gulf states, China, and others, has produced no breakthroughs on core triggers such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Zelenskyy-Putin meeting, or Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Federal Reserve policy remains unchanged, with no 50-basis-point rate cut or moves against Chair Powell or Governor Cook. Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine continue without resolution, while routine developments like Greenland security agreements and hurricane activity fall outside the market’s specific criteria. With one week remaining in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of qualifying events and limited time for major shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於什麼都沒有發生
什麼都沒有發生
September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Fed rate cut
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Fed rate cut
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
Ongoing diplomatic activity at the UN General Assembly, including President Trump’s address and bilateral meetings with leaders from Ukraine, Gulf states, China, and others, has produced no breakthroughs on core triggers such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Zelenskyy-Putin meeting, or Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Federal Reserve policy remains unchanged, with no 50-basis-point rate cut or moves against Chair Powell or Governor Cook. Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine continue without resolution, while routine developments like Greenland security agreements and hurricane activity fall outside the market’s specific criteria. With one week remaining in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of qualifying events and limited time for major shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions