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icon for 前所未有: 9月

前所未有: 9月

icon for 前所未有: 9月

前所未有: 9月

什麼都沒有發生

93% 機率
Polymarket
最新

什麼都沒有發生

93% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdfOngoing diplomatic activity at the UN General Assembly, including President Trump’s address and bilateral meetings with leaders from Ukraine, Gulf states, China, and others, has produced no breakthroughs on core triggers such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Zelenskyy-Putin meeting, or Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Federal Reserve policy remains unchanged, with no 50-basis-point rate cut or moves against Chair Powell or Governor Cook. Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine continue without resolution, while routine developments like Greenland security agreements and hurricane activity fall outside the market’s specific criteria. With one week remaining in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of qualifying events and limited time for major shifts.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and
September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Fed rate cut
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
交易量
$386
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdfOngoing diplomatic activity at the UN General Assembly, including President Trump’s address and bilateral meetings with leaders from Ukraine, Gulf states, China, and others, has produced no breakthroughs on core triggers such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Zelenskyy-Putin meeting, or Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Federal Reserve policy remains unchanged, with no 50-basis-point rate cut or moves against Chair Powell or Governor Cook. Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine continue without resolution, while routine developments like Greenland security agreements and hurricane activity fall outside the market’s specific criteria. With one week remaining in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of qualifying events and limited time for major shifts.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and
September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Fed rate cut
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
交易量
$386
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"前所未有: 9月" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "什麼都不會發生:九月" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"前所未有: 9月" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "前所未有: 9月," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "前所未有: 9月" is "什麼都不會發生:九月" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "前所未有: 9月" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.