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Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?

Market icon

Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?

4,500-5,000 41%

5,000-5,500 41%

5,500-6,000 41%

6,000-6,500 41%

Polymarket
最新

4,500-5,000 41%

5,000-5,500 41%

5,500-6,000 41%

6,000-6,500 41%

Polymarket
最新

<4,000

$0 交易量

41%

4,000-4,500

$0 交易量

41%

4,500-5,000

$0 交易量

41%

5,000-5,500

$0 交易量

41%

5,500-6,000

$0 交易量

41%

6,000-6,500

$0 交易量

41%

6,500-7,000

$0 交易量

41%

>7,000

$0 交易量

41%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Recent spring storms and Easter weekend travel surges drove US flight delays above 5,000 on April 4-5, with FlightAware reporting 5,600+ delays amid thunderstorms battering hubs like New York, Chicago, and Florida airports, while FAA air traffic controller staffing shortages at half of core facilities amplified disruptions. As volumes normalize post-holiday into April 10—a Thursday with typical business traffic—FAA's April 8 traffic report flags lingering risks from gusty winds at Boston Logan, Philadelphia, Denver, and New York, plus potential afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and low clouds at San Francisco. Trader consensus clusters evenly around 4,000-5,500 delays, reflecting historical spring averages and uncertainty over final weather patterns or ATC call-outs that could tip toward lower calm or higher chaos.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-04-10
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Recent spring storms and Easter weekend travel surges drove US flight delays above 5,000 on April 4-5, with FlightAware reporting 5,600+ delays amid thunderstorms battering hubs like New York, Chicago, and Florida airports, while FAA air traffic controller staffing shortages at half of core facilities amplified disruptions. As volumes normalize post-holiday into April 10—a Thursday with typical business traffic—FAA's April 8 traffic report flags lingering risks from gusty winds at Boston Logan, Philadelphia, Denver, and New York, plus potential afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and low clouds at San Francisco. Trader consensus clusters evenly around 4,000-5,500 delays, reflecting historical spring averages and uncertainty over final weather patterns or ATC call-outs that could tip toward lower calm or higher chaos.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-04-10
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<4,000" at 41%, followed by "4,000-4,500" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?" is "<4,000" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4,000-4,500" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed April 10?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.