Market icon
政治·機場

Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?

Market icon
政治·機場

Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?

3月 29

4月 6

4月 9

4月 10

3月 29

4月 6

4月 9

4月 10

3,000-3,500 62%

4,500-5,000 49%

4,000-4,500 45%

5,000-5,500 45%

Polymarket

$222 交易量

3,000-3,500 62%

4,500-5,000 49%

4,000-4,500 45%

5,000-5,500 45%

Polymarket

$222 交易量

<3,000

$0 交易量

33%

3,000-3,500

$122 交易量

62%

3,500-4,000

$100 交易量

39%

4,000-4,500

$0 交易量

45%

4,500-5,000

$0 交易量

49%

5,000-5,500

$0 交易量

45%

5,500-6,000

$0 交易量

41%

>6,000

$0 交易量

37%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 US flight delays for April 9, reflecting FlightAware's mid-day tally of roughly 4,100 delays amid moderate disruptions at key hubs like Miami (MIA, 45-minute departure delays decreasing), Fort Lauderdale (FLL, 30 minutes increasing), and Philadelphia (PHL, 40 minutes). FAA warnings for afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds across Boston (BOS), New York-area airports, and others sustain elevated volumes following Easter week's peaks above 5,000, while post-holiday normalization tempers extremes. The narrow spread persists as the day unfolds, with potential storm escalation at high-traffic Southeast airports pushing toward 5,000+ or quicker dissipation holding below 4,500; real-time FAA NAS status and FlightAware updates will likely decide separation by evening.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$222
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 US flight delays for April 9, reflecting FlightAware's mid-day tally of roughly 4,100 delays amid moderate disruptions at key hubs like Miami (MIA, 45-minute departure delays decreasing), Fort Lauderdale (FLL, 30 minutes increasing), and Philadelphia (PHL, 40 minutes). FAA warnings for afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds across Boston (BOS), New York-area airports, and others sustain elevated volumes following Easter week's peaks above 5,000, while post-holiday normalization tempers extremes. The narrow spread persists as the day unfolds, with potential storm escalation at high-traffic Southeast airports pushing toward 5,000+ or quicker dissipation holding below 4,500; real-time FAA NAS status and FlightAware updates will likely decide separation by evening.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$222
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4,500-5,000" at 49%, followed by "4,000-4,500" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" is "4,500-5,000" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4,000-4,500" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.