Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, driven by recent weekday volumes clustering in this range—April 3 at 2.66 million and April 6 at 2.71 million—reflecting sustained post-spring break demand amid record March traffic of 78.5 million flyers, up 1.7% year-over-year. Resolution of acute TSA staffing shortages through backpay and ICE augmentation has shortened lines by up to 80%, bolstering traveler confidence and volume stability, while weekend dips (April 7: 2.21M; April 8: 2.28M) explain elevated odds for lower bins like <2.2M (35%) and 2.2M-2.4M (32%). Official data releases by 9 a.m. ET April 11.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2.6M-2.8M 96%
>3.0M 48.9%
<2.2M 0
2.2M-2.4M 0
$4,357 交易量
$4,357 交易量
<2.2M
35%
2.2M-2.4M
27%
2.4M-2.6M
47%
2.6M-2.8M
76%
2.8M-3.0M
46%
>3.0M
49%
2.6M-2.8M 96%
>3.0M 48.9%
<2.2M 0
2.2M-2.4M 0
$4,357 交易量
$4,357 交易量
<2.2M
35%
2.2M-2.4M
27%
2.4M-2.6M
47%
2.6M-2.8M
76%
2.8M-3.0M
46%
>3.0M
49%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, driven by recent weekday volumes clustering in this range—April 3 at 2.66 million and April 6 at 2.71 million—reflecting sustained post-spring break demand amid record March traffic of 78.5 million flyers, up 1.7% year-over-year. Resolution of acute TSA staffing shortages through backpay and ICE augmentation has shortened lines by up to 80%, bolstering traveler confidence and volume stability, while weekend dips (April 7: 2.21M; April 8: 2.28M) explain elevated odds for lower bins like <2.2M (35%) and 2.2M-2.4M (32%). Official data releases by 9 a.m. ET April 11.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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