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Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Market icon
政治·獎勵自動化50 4.5 50

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 27

>6,000 96%

5,500-6,000 12%

5,000-5,500 9%

4,000-4,500 4.5%

Polymarket

$2,147 交易量

>6,000 96%

5,500-6,000 12%

5,000-5,500 9%

4,000-4,500 4.5%

Polymarket

$2,147 交易量

<3,000

$243 交易量

<1%

3,000-3,500

$602 交易量

1%

3,500-4,000

$344 交易量

1%

4,000-4,500

$207 交易量

5%

4,500-5,000

$269 交易量

2%

5,000-5,500

$150 交易量

10%

5,500-6,000

$104 交易量

10%

>6,000

$228 交易量

78%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe weather forecasts across the US, including heavy snow in the Northeast and thunderstorms in the South and Midwest, are driving trader consensus toward over 6,000 flight delays on March 27, reflecting patterns seen in recent high-delay days during peak spring break travel. National Weather Service alerts issued in the past 48 hours predict disruptions at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson, and New York-area airports, compounded by FAA air traffic control staffing constraints and notams for ground delays. Historical data from the DOT's Bureau of Transportation Statistics shows delays exceeding 6,000 on comparable stormy dates, while lower bins lag as forecasts indicate widespread impacts rather than localized issues; real-time FAA advisories could still adjust outcomes before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$2,147
結束日期
Mar 27, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Severe weather forecasts across the US, including heavy snow in the Northeast and thunderstorms in the South and Midwest, are driving trader consensus toward over 6,000 flight delays on March 27, reflecting patterns seen in recent high-delay days during peak spring break travel. National Weather Service alerts issued in the past 48 hours predict disruptions at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson, and New York-area airports, compounded by FAA air traffic control staffing constraints and notams for ground delays. Historical data from the DOT's Bureau of Transportation Statistics shows delays exceeding 6,000 on comparable stormy dates, while lower bins lag as forecasts indicate widespread impacts rather than localized issues; real-time FAA advisories could still adjust outcomes before end-of-day resolution.

Severe weather forecasts across the US, including heavy snow in the Northeast and thunderstorms in the South and Midwest, are driving trader consensus toward over 6,000 flight delays on March 27, reflecting patterns seen in recent high-delay days during peak spring break travel. National Weather Service alerts issued in the past 48 hours predict disruptions at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson, and New York-area airports, compounded by FAA air traffic control staffing constraints and notams for ground delays. Historical data from the DOT's Bureau of Transportation Statistics shows delays exceeding 6,000 on comparable stormy dates, while lower bins lag as forecasts indicate widespread impacts rather than localized issues; real-time FAA advisories could still adjust outcomes before end-of-day resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">6,000" at 79%, followed by "5,000-5,500" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" is ">6,000" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5,000-5,500" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.