Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於“癡迷”第四周末票房
“癡迷”第四周末票房
2400萬至2700萬 100.0%
低於2100萬 <1%
2100萬-2400萬 <1%
2700萬-3000萬 <1%
$31,738 交易量
$31,738 交易量
2026-06-08
低於2100萬
否
2100萬-2400萬
否
2400萬至2700萬
是
2700萬-3000萬
否
>3000萬
否
2400萬至2700萬 100.0%
低於2100萬 <1%
2100萬-2400萬 <1%
2700萬-3000萬 <1%
$31,738 交易量
$31,738 交易量
2026-06-08
低於2100萬
$10,348 交易量
否
2100萬-2400萬
$7,783 交易量
否
2400萬至2700萬
$7,317 交易量
是
2700萬-3000萬
$5,502 交易量
否
>3000萬
$788 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
交易量
$31,738結束日期
2026-06-08市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$31,738結束日期
2026-06-08市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions