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icon for 2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

icon for 2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

$18,384 交易量

2027-01-20
Polymarket

$18,384 交易量

Polymarket

The Odyssey

$3,282 交易量

97%

La Bola Negra

$1,482 交易量

94%

Project Hail Mary

$1,160 交易量

86%

Dune: Part Three

$958 交易量

83%

Wild Horse Nine

$3,120 交易量

74%

Fjord

$40 交易量

66%

初登場

$556 交易量

56%

Digger

$2,058 交易量

52%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$824 交易量

34%

The Social Reckoning

$1,777 交易量

33%

All of a Sudden

$130 交易量

32%

The Drama

$107 交易量

11%

Michael

$584 交易量

14%

Disclosure Day

$1,792 交易量

8%

Fatherland

$182 交易量

18%

Avengers: Doomsday

$305 交易量

6%

邀請函

$26 交易量

52%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened in July 2026 to the director’s strongest reviews and solid box-office returns, has quickly become the clear frontrunner for a Best Picture nomination at the 2027 Oscars. Traders view its epic scale, technical achievements, and the Academy’s recent embrace of Nolan as decisive advantages, reflected in market-implied odds near 50 percent for the win. Challengers such as “Dune: Part Three,” Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” and Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” are expected to contend once fall festivals deliver critical consensus and guild signals. With nominations still months away, upcoming premieres at Venice, Telluride, and Toronto will shape the field and test whether any late-arriving titles can close the gap.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,384
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” which opened in July 2026 to the director’s strongest reviews and solid box-office returns, has quickly become the clear frontrunner for a Best Picture nomination at the 2027 Oscars. Traders view its epic scale, technical achievements, and the Academy’s recent embrace of Nolan as decisive advantages, reflected in market-implied odds near 50 percent for the win. Challengers such as “Dune: Part Three,” Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine,” and Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” are expected to contend once fall festivals deliver critical consensus and guild signals. With nominations still months away, upcoming premieres at Venice, Telluride, and Toronto will shape the field and test whether any late-arriving titles can close the gap.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,384
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 97%, followed by "La Bola Negra" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" has generated $18.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" is "The Odyssey" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "La Bola Negra" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.