With the Oscars 2027 race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows a wide field of contenders trading at closely matched implied probabilities, reflecting limited precursor data and high uncertainty. Films like The Odyssey, Fjord, and Being Heumann hold slight edges among tracked titles due to early industry buzz around their scale, source material, and reported casting ensembles, while lower-priced options such as Dune: Part Three and Clarissa face longer odds amid stiffer competition. Absent guild nods or critics' awards yet, momentum hinges on upcoming production updates, festival debuts, and historical patterns where bold ensemble-driven projects often gain traction closer to voting. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret-ballot outcomes this far from the ceremony.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Fjord 39%
Obsession 38%
Cry to Heaven 38%
Michael 36%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Fjord
39%
Obsession
38%
Cry to Heaven
38%
Michael
36%
UNABOMBER
36%
Saturn Return
36%
Being Heumann
35%
Digger
27%
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
34%
Wild Horse Nine
36%
Dune: Part Three
35%
Clarissa
28%
Fjord 39%
Obsession 38%
Cry to Heaven 38%
Michael 36%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Fjord
$28 交易量
39%
Obsession
$28 交易量
38%
Cry to Heaven
$28 交易量
38%
Michael
$28 交易量
36%
UNABOMBER
$28 交易量
36%
Saturn Return
$28 交易量
36%
Being Heumann
$28 交易量
35%
Digger
$48 交易量
27%
The Odyssey
$90 交易量
43%
The Black Ball
$28 交易量
34%
Wild Horse Nine
$48 交易量
36%
Dune: Part Three
$28 交易量
35%
Clarissa
$28 交易量
28%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the Oscars 2027 race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows a wide field of contenders trading at closely matched implied probabilities, reflecting limited precursor data and high uncertainty. Films like The Odyssey, Fjord, and Being Heumann hold slight edges among tracked titles due to early industry buzz around their scale, source material, and reported casting ensembles, while lower-priced options such as Dune: Part Three and Clarissa face longer odds amid stiffer competition. Absent guild nods or critics' awards yet, momentum hinges on upcoming production updates, festival debuts, and historical patterns where bold ensemble-driven projects often gain traction closer to voting. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret-ballot outcomes this far from the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$466結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the Oscars 2027 race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows a wide field of contenders trading at closely matched implied probabilities, reflecting limited precursor data and high uncertainty. Films like The Odyssey, Fjord, and Being Heumann hold slight edges among tracked titles due to early industry buzz around their scale, source material, and reported casting ensembles, while lower-priced options such as Dune: Part Three and Clarissa face longer odds amid stiffer competition. Absent guild nods or critics' awards yet, momentum hinges on upcoming production updates, festival debuts, and historical patterns where bold ensemble-driven projects often gain traction closer to voting. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret-ballot outcomes this far from the ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$466結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the Oscars 2027 race still in its earliest stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows a wide field of contenders trading at closely matched implied probabilities, reflecting limited precursor data and high uncertainty. Films like The Odyssey, Fjord, and Being Heumann hold slight edges among tracked titles due to early industry buzz around their scale, source material, and reported casting ensembles, while lower-priced options such as Dune: Part Three and Clarissa face longer odds amid stiffer competition. Absent guild nods or critics' awards yet, momentum hinges on upcoming production updates, festival debuts, and historical patterns where bold ensemble-driven projects often gain traction closer to voting. Traders are pricing in the inherent volatility of secret-ballot outcomes this far from the ceremony.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions