Dune: Part Three sits at the front of the Best Visual Effects market with 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s established visual effects reputation and large-scale production expectations. The remainder of the field clusters tightly around 50%, reflecting an unusually open race this early in the 2027 cycle when few films have screened and guild or critics’ awards are still months away. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary at 26% and The Odyssey at 10.5% illustrate how ambitious sci-fi and epic projects could gain ground on the strength of technical ambition, director pedigree, and post-release audience metrics. Momentum will hinge on upcoming trailer drops, release timing, and early industry buzz once 2026 films reach theaters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯卡2027 ：最佳視覺效果獎得主
奧斯卡2027 ：最佳視覺效果獎得主
沙丘：第三部 55%
救援太空人 26%
奧德賽號 10%
哥吉拉-1.0 10.0%
$19,691 交易量
$19,691 交易量
2027-06-30
沙丘：第三部
55%
救援太空人
26%
奧德賽號
10%
哥吉拉-1.0
10%
蜘蛛人：全新一天
4%
復仇者聯盟：末日
3%
沙丘：第三部 55%
救援太空人 26%
奧德賽號 10%
哥吉拉-1.0 10.0%
$19,691 交易量
$19,691 交易量
2027-06-30
沙丘：第三部
$16,400 交易量
55%
救援太空人
$1,626 交易量
26%
奧德賽號
$470 交易量
10%
哥吉拉-1.0
$490 交易量
10%
蜘蛛人：全新一天
$282 交易量
4%
復仇者聯盟：末日
$423 交易量
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three sits at the front of the Best Visual Effects market with 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s established visual effects reputation and large-scale production expectations. The remainder of the field clusters tightly around 50%, reflecting an unusually open race this early in the 2027 cycle when few films have screened and guild or critics’ awards are still months away. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary at 26% and The Odyssey at 10.5% illustrate how ambitious sci-fi and epic projects could gain ground on the strength of technical ambition, director pedigree, and post-release audience metrics. Momentum will hinge on upcoming trailer drops, release timing, and early industry buzz once 2026 films reach theaters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$19,691結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three sits at the front of the Best Visual Effects market with 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s established visual effects reputation and large-scale production expectations. The remainder of the field clusters tightly around 50%, reflecting an unusually open race this early in the 2027 cycle when few films have screened and guild or critics’ awards are still months away. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary at 26% and The Odyssey at 10.5% illustrate how ambitious sci-fi and epic projects could gain ground on the strength of technical ambition, director pedigree, and post-release audience metrics. Momentum will hinge on upcoming trailer drops, release timing, and early industry buzz once 2026 films reach theaters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,691結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETDune: Part Three sits at the front of the Best Visual Effects market with 54.5% implied probability, buoyed by the franchise’s established visual effects reputation and large-scale production expectations. The remainder of the field clusters tightly around 50%, reflecting an unusually open race this early in the 2027 cycle when few films have screened and guild or critics’ awards are still months away. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary at 26% and The Odyssey at 10.5% illustrate how ambitious sci-fi and epic projects could gain ground on the strength of technical ambition, director pedigree, and post-release audience metrics. Momentum will hinge on upcoming trailer drops, release timing, and early industry buzz once 2026 films reach theaters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions